Recent cold air advection from a polar front, combined with clear skies and radiative cooling under high pressure, drove the strong trader consensus around a 13°C minimum in São Paulo on September 8. Official monitoring from Inmet and the Centro de Gerenciamento de Emergências showed temperatures bottoming near that threshold after the sharper 10.1°C reading on September 7, consistent with seasonal September climatology and model consensus that the coldest air had already passed. Surface observations and ensemble forecasts aligned on limited overnight cooling once winds shifted and humidity rose slightly, producing the market-implied probability above 90%. Scenarios that could still alter resolution include post-analysis revisions from official stations or unaccounted microclimate effects at the primary measurement site.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 8. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 8. September?
13°C 99.5%
9°C 3%
12°C 2.0%
7°C oder weniger <1%
$2,052 Vol.
$2,052 Vol.
8. Sep. 2026
7°C oder weniger
Nein
8°C
Nein
9°C
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Ja
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C oder höher
Nein
13°C 99.5%
9°C 3%
12°C 2.0%
7°C oder weniger <1%
$2,052 Vol.
$2,052 Vol.
8. Sep. 2026
7°C oder weniger
$187 Vol.
Nein
8°C
$165 Vol.
Nein
9°C
$30 Vol.
Nein
10°C
$167 Vol.
Nein
11°C
$148 Vol.
Nein
12°C
$36 Vol.
Nein
13°C
$399 Vol.
Ja
14°C
$315 Vol.
Nein
15°C
$254 Vol.
Nein
16°C
$284 Vol.
Nein
17°C oder höher
$67 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection from a polar front, combined with clear skies and radiative cooling under high pressure, drove the strong trader consensus around a 13°C minimum in São Paulo on September 8. Official monitoring from Inmet and the Centro de Gerenciamento de Emergências showed temperatures bottoming near that threshold after the sharper 10.1°C reading on September 7, consistent with seasonal September climatology and model consensus that the coldest air had already passed. Surface observations and ensemble forecasts aligned on limited overnight cooling once winds shifted and humidity rose slightly, producing the market-implied probability above 90%. Scenarios that could still alter resolution include post-analysis revisions from official stations or unaccounted microclimate effects at the primary measurement site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 6, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Volumen
$2,052Enddatum
8. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 6, 2026, 8:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection from a polar front, combined with clear skies and radiative cooling under high pressure, drove the strong trader consensus around a 13°C minimum in São Paulo on September 8. Official monitoring from Inmet and the Centro de Gerenciamento de Emergências showed temperatures bottoming near that threshold after the sharper 10.1°C reading on September 7, consistent with seasonal September climatology and model consensus that the coldest air had already passed. Surface observations and ensemble forecasts aligned on limited overnight cooling once winds shifted and humidity rose slightly, producing the market-implied probability above 90%. Scenarios that could still alter resolution include post-analysis revisions from official stations or unaccounted microclimate effects at the primary measurement site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,052Enddatum
8. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 6, 2026, 8:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent cold air advection from a polar front, combined with clear skies and radiative cooling under high pressure, drove the strong trader consensus around a 13°C minimum in São Paulo on September 8. Official monitoring from Inmet and the Centro de Gerenciamento de Emergências showed temperatures bottoming near that threshold after the sharper 10.1°C reading on September 7, consistent with seasonal September climatology and model consensus that the coldest air had already passed. Surface observations and ensemble forecasts aligned on limited overnight cooling once winds shifted and humidity rose slightly, producing the market-implied probability above 90%. Scenarios that could still alter resolution include post-analysis revisions from official stations or unaccounted microclimate effects at the primary measurement site.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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