Forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies, including recent runs showing partly cloudy conditions with scattered showers or thunderstorms, positions a 31°C high as the most probable outcome for Shenzhen on September 10, aligning with the market's leading 36.5% implied probability. Subtropical humidity and northeasterly flow are expected to limit peak heating near historical September averages of 30–31°C, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed rain could push readings to 32°C. Current observations from September 9 highs around 31–32°C provide context, though official updates from the China Meteorological Administration or international ensembles over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact maximum before market resolution. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range amid typical late-summer variability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 10. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 10. September?
31°C 37%
32°C 26%
30°C 16%
33°C 10%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
26°C oder niedriger
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
16%
31°C
37%
32°C
26%
33°C
10%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
31°C 37%
32°C 26%
30°C 16%
33°C 10%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
26°C oder niedriger
$663 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$704 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$849 Vol.
1%
29°C
$287 Vol.
4%
30°C
$2,060 Vol.
16%
31°C
$771 Vol.
37%
32°C
$1,424 Vol.
26%
33°C
$301 Vol.
10%
34°C
$657 Vol.
3%
35°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
36°C oder höher
$183 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies, including recent runs showing partly cloudy conditions with scattered showers or thunderstorms, positions a 31°C high as the most probable outcome for Shenzhen on September 10, aligning with the market's leading 36.5% implied probability. Subtropical humidity and northeasterly flow are expected to limit peak heating near historical September averages of 30–31°C, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed rain could push readings to 32°C. Current observations from September 9 highs around 31–32°C provide context, though official updates from the China Meteorological Administration or international ensembles over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact maximum before market resolution. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range amid typical late-summer variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$8,087Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies, including recent runs showing partly cloudy conditions with scattered showers or thunderstorms, positions a 31°C high as the most probable outcome for Shenzhen on September 10, aligning with the market's leading 36.5% implied probability. Subtropical humidity and northeasterly flow are expected to limit peak heating near historical September averages of 30–31°C, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed rain could push readings to 32°C. Current observations from September 9 highs around 31–32°C provide context, though official updates from the China Meteorological Administration or international ensembles over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact maximum before market resolution. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range amid typical late-summer variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,087Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies, including recent runs showing partly cloudy conditions with scattered showers or thunderstorms, positions a 31°C high as the most probable outcome for Shenzhen on September 10, aligning with the market's leading 36.5% implied probability. Subtropical humidity and northeasterly flow are expected to limit peak heating near historical September averages of 30–31°C, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed rain could push readings to 32°C. Current observations from September 9 highs around 31–32°C provide context, though official updates from the China Meteorological Administration or international ensembles over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact maximum before market resolution. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range amid typical late-summer variability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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