Recent forecast model consensus points to a low temperature near 15–17°C on September 9, driven by clearing skies after earlier rain and light northerly flow that promotes nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical averages place the September 9 minimum around 17.5°C, but recent runs show slightly cooler conditions possible if boundary-layer winds remain light overnight. Trader odds reflect genuine uncertainty across model ensembles, with the elevated probability on 9°C or below highlighting downside risks from stronger cooling under clear, calm conditions while the spread toward 19°C or higher captures potential for warmer advection or incomplete clearing. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 9. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 9. September?
9°C oder darunter 69%
19°C oder höher 59%
14°C 50%
10°C 48%
NEU
NEU
9. Sep. 2026
9°C oder darunter
69%
10°C
48%
11°C
48%
12°C
47%
13°C
27%
14°C
50%
15°C
48%
16°C
48%
17°C
41%
18°C
41%
19°C oder höher
59%
9°C oder darunter 69%
19°C oder höher 59%
14°C 50%
10°C 48%
NEU
NEU
9. Sep. 2026
9°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
69%
10°C
$0 Vol.
48%
11°C
$0 Vol.
48%
12°C
$0 Vol.
47%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
50%
15°C
$0 Vol.
48%
16°C
$0 Vol.
48%
17°C
$0 Vol.
41%
18°C
$0 Vol.
41%
19°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus points to a low temperature near 15–17°C on September 9, driven by clearing skies after earlier rain and light northerly flow that promotes nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical averages place the September 9 minimum around 17.5°C, but recent runs show slightly cooler conditions possible if boundary-layer winds remain light overnight. Trader odds reflect genuine uncertainty across model ensembles, with the elevated probability on 9°C or below highlighting downside risks from stronger cooling under clear, calm conditions while the spread toward 19°C or higher captures potential for warmer advection or incomplete clearing. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
9. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus points to a low temperature near 15–17°C on September 9, driven by clearing skies after earlier rain and light northerly flow that promotes nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical averages place the September 9 minimum around 17.5°C, but recent runs show slightly cooler conditions possible if boundary-layer winds remain light overnight. Trader odds reflect genuine uncertainty across model ensembles, with the elevated probability on 9°C or below highlighting downside risks from stronger cooling under clear, calm conditions while the spread toward 19°C or higher captures potential for warmer advection or incomplete clearing. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
9. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus points to a low temperature near 15–17°C on September 9, driven by clearing skies after earlier rain and light northerly flow that promotes nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical averages place the September 9 minimum around 17.5°C, but recent runs show slightly cooler conditions possible if boundary-layer winds remain light overnight. Trader odds reflect genuine uncertainty across model ensembles, with the elevated probability on 9°C or below highlighting downside risks from stronger cooling under clear, calm conditions while the spread toward 19°C or higher captures potential for warmer advection or incomplete clearing. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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