Recent forecasts from multiple models and official sources indicate a cool, overcast day in Buenos Aires on September 12, with a southerly wind shift and frontal passage advecting cooler maritime air southward. This setup, combined with widespread cloud cover and light drizzle potential, is expected to limit daytime heating and cap the maximum temperature near 11–12 °C. Current observations on September 11 show highs around 16–18 °C ahead of the change, supporting the rapid drop. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 11 °C and 12 °C, aligns with this consensus forecast while acknowledging minor model spread and uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized warming under breaks in the clouds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 12. September?
12°C 42%
11°C 34%
13°C 12%
10°C 8%
8°C oder weniger
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
8%
11°C
34%
12°C
42%
13°C
12%
14°C
5%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C oder höher
<1%
12°C 42%
11°C 34%
13°C 12%
10°C 8%
8°C oder weniger
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
8%
11°C
34%
12°C
42%
13°C
12%
14°C
5%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models and official sources indicate a cool, overcast day in Buenos Aires on September 12, with a southerly wind shift and frontal passage advecting cooler maritime air southward. This setup, combined with widespread cloud cover and light drizzle potential, is expected to limit daytime heating and cap the maximum temperature near 11–12 °C. Current observations on September 11 show highs around 16–18 °C ahead of the change, supporting the rapid drop. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 11 °C and 12 °C, aligns with this consensus forecast while acknowledging minor model spread and uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized warming under breaks in the clouds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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