**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources show strong consensus for a high near 100°F in Dallas on September 13, 2026, under sunny skies, light south winds, and continued dry conditions.** This positions the 100-101°F bin as the leading market outcome at 43% implied probability, followed by 98-99°F at 27%. A strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow are maintaining above-normal temperatures roughly 10°F above the 1991-2020 September 13 average high of 90°F. Multiple model runs indicate minimal day-to-day variability and low precipitation chances, limiting upside or downside surprises. Heat indices may reach 104-107°F, but the official high depends on exact afternoon readings at official stations. Traders appear to be weighting the tight forecast cluster around 99-101°F, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers given current model agreement and the absence of incoming fronts or moisture.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 13. September?
100-101°F 43%
98-99°F 28%
102-103°F 12%
96-97°F 8%
$16,110 Vol.
$16,110 Vol.
89°F oder niedriger
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
28%
100-101°F
43%
102-103°F
12%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
1%
108°F oder höher
1%
100-101°F 43%
98-99°F 28%
102-103°F 12%
96-97°F 8%
$16,110 Vol.
$16,110 Vol.
89°F oder niedriger
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
28%
100-101°F
43%
102-103°F
12%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
1%
108°F oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources show strong consensus for a high near 100°F in Dallas on September 13, 2026, under sunny skies, light south winds, and continued dry conditions.** This positions the 100-101°F bin as the leading market outcome at 43% implied probability, followed by 98-99°F at 27%. A strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow are maintaining above-normal temperatures roughly 10°F above the 1991-2020 September 13 average high of 90°F. Multiple model runs indicate minimal day-to-day variability and low precipitation chances, limiting upside or downside surprises. Heat indices may reach 104-107°F, but the official high depends on exact afternoon readings at official stations. Traders appear to be weighting the tight forecast cluster around 99-101°F, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers given current model agreement and the absence of incoming fronts or moisture.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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