Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 12 project a daytime high near 30°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing later, driven by a strengthening northeast monsoon and a broad low-pressure area organizing in the central South China Sea. Reduced insolation from increased cloud cover and higher humidity (60–95%) limit daytime heating relative to the clearer, drier conditions expected on September 11 (31°C). Ensemble model spreads and historical September variability around the 30.1°C climatological average support trader concentration on the 30–32°C outcomes, with implied probabilities reflecting uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation that could cap or briefly allow higher readings. Updated HKO guidance and next model runs will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 12. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 12. September?
31°C 32%
30°C 24%
32°C 21%
29°C 17%
NEU
NEU
12. Sep. 2026
25°C oder weniger
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
7%
29°C
17%
30°C
24%
31°C
32%
32°C
21%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
31°C 32%
30°C 24%
32°C 21%
29°C 17%
NEU
NEU
12. Sep. 2026
25°C oder weniger
$321 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
6%
28°C
$20 Vol.
7%
29°C
$12 Vol.
17%
30°C
$15 Vol.
24%
31°C
$428 Vol.
32%
32°C
$11 Vol.
21%
33°C
$200 Vol.
3%
34°C
$0 Vol.
1%
35°C oder höher
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 12 project a daytime high near 30°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing later, driven by a strengthening northeast monsoon and a broad low-pressure area organizing in the central South China Sea. Reduced insolation from increased cloud cover and higher humidity (60–95%) limit daytime heating relative to the clearer, drier conditions expected on September 11 (31°C). Ensemble model spreads and historical September variability around the 30.1°C climatological average support trader concentration on the 30–32°C outcomes, with implied probabilities reflecting uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation that could cap or briefly allow higher readings. Updated HKO guidance and next model runs will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,119Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 12 project a daytime high near 30°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing later, driven by a strengthening northeast monsoon and a broad low-pressure area organizing in the central South China Sea. Reduced insolation from increased cloud cover and higher humidity (60–95%) limit daytime heating relative to the clearer, drier conditions expected on September 11 (31°C). Ensemble model spreads and historical September variability around the 30.1°C climatological average support trader concentration on the 30–32°C outcomes, with implied probabilities reflecting uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation that could cap or briefly allow higher readings. Updated HKO guidance and next model runs will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,119Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 12 project a daytime high near 30°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing later, driven by a strengthening northeast monsoon and a broad low-pressure area organizing in the central South China Sea. Reduced insolation from increased cloud cover and higher humidity (60–95%) limit daytime heating relative to the clearer, drier conditions expected on September 11 (31°C). Ensemble model spreads and historical September variability around the 30.1°C climatological average support trader concentration on the 30–32°C outcomes, with implied probabilities reflecting uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation that could cap or briefly allow higher readings. Updated HKO guidance and next model runs will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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