Recent forecasts from multiple models, including DWD and ECMWF outputs, point to mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds over Munich on September 12, supporting a daily maximum near the 20–22°C range amid typical mid-September cooling. High-pressure dominance has suppressed cloud cover and precipitation chances below 10% in afternoon hours, aligning with the historical average high of 20°C while limiting potential for stronger warming. Market-implied odds favoring 23°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance showing modest afternoon peaks near 21–22°C, with lower probabilities for 24°C or higher tied to the absence of southerly flow or anomalous ridging that could elevate readings further. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 12. September?
Höchste Temperatur in München am 12. September?
23°C 47%
22°C 34%
21°C 20%
24°C 16%
NEU
NEU
12. Sep. 2026
19°C oder weniger
4%
20°C
11%
21°C
20%
22°C
34%
23°C
47%
24°C
16%
25°C
10%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C oder höher
1%
23°C 47%
22°C 34%
21°C 20%
24°C 16%
NEU
NEU
12. Sep. 2026
19°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
11%
21°C
$0 Vol.
20%
22°C
$0 Vol.
34%
23°C
$55 Vol.
47%
24°C
$0 Vol.
16%
25°C
$11 Vol.
10%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including DWD and ECMWF outputs, point to mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds over Munich on September 12, supporting a daily maximum near the 20–22°C range amid typical mid-September cooling. High-pressure dominance has suppressed cloud cover and precipitation chances below 10% in afternoon hours, aligning with the historical average high of 20°C while limiting potential for stronger warming. Market-implied odds favoring 23°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance showing modest afternoon peaks near 21–22°C, with lower probabilities for 24°C or higher tied to the absence of southerly flow or anomalous ridging that could elevate readings further. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$66Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including DWD and ECMWF outputs, point to mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds over Munich on September 12, supporting a daily maximum near the 20–22°C range amid typical mid-September cooling. High-pressure dominance has suppressed cloud cover and precipitation chances below 10% in afternoon hours, aligning with the historical average high of 20°C while limiting potential for stronger warming. Market-implied odds favoring 23°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance showing modest afternoon peaks near 21–22°C, with lower probabilities for 24°C or higher tied to the absence of southerly flow or anomalous ridging that could elevate readings further. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$66Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including DWD and ECMWF outputs, point to mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds over Munich on September 12, supporting a daily maximum near the 20–22°C range amid typical mid-September cooling. High-pressure dominance has suppressed cloud cover and precipitation chances below 10% in afternoon hours, aligning with the historical average high of 20°C while limiting potential for stronger warming. Market-implied odds favoring 23°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance showing modest afternoon peaks near 21–22°C, with lower probabilities for 24°C or higher tied to the absence of southerly flow or anomalous ridging that could elevate readings further. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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