**Current forecasts for Munich on September 10, 2026, center on a daily maximum of 18–19 °C under partly cloudy skies following overnight clearing after widespread rain on the 9th.** Multiple models, including outputs aligned with DWD and ECMWF guidance, show afternoon highs reaching 18–19 °C (roughly 64–66 °F) with light easterly or northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This places the expected peak below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.5 °C for the date. Trader positioning reflects this consensus: the 44.5 % implied probability on 19 °C and 21.5 % on 18 °C together dominate, while the 17.5 % on 20 °C captures residual model spread or slight upward revisions possible with stronger insolation. Lower outcomes (17 °C or below) receive limited weight, consistent with overnight lows near 11–13 °C and daytime recovery under clearing conditions. Higher probabilities (21 °C+) remain discounted given the cool post-frontal air mass and lack of southerly advection. No significant forecast shifts have emerged in the latest model runs, supporting the current market-implied distribution. Resolution will hinge on the official recorded maximum, typically measured at the Munich reference station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 10. September?
Höchste Temperatur in München am 10. September?
19°C 51%
18°C 20%
20°C 20%
21°C 8%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
13°C oder darunter
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
20%
19°C
51%
20°C
20%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C oder höher
1%
19°C 51%
18°C 20%
20°C 20%
21°C 8%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
13°C oder darunter
$1,233 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$824 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$12 Vol.
2%
16°C
$96 Vol.
2%
17°C
$973 Vol.
4%
18°C
$1,036 Vol.
20%
19°C
$814 Vol.
51%
20°C
$2,263 Vol.
20%
21°C
$1,121 Vol.
8%
22°C
$216 Vol.
2%
23°C oder höher
$208 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Munich on September 10, 2026, center on a daily maximum of 18–19 °C under partly cloudy skies following overnight clearing after widespread rain on the 9th.** Multiple models, including outputs aligned with DWD and ECMWF guidance, show afternoon highs reaching 18–19 °C (roughly 64–66 °F) with light easterly or northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This places the expected peak below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.5 °C for the date.
Trader positioning reflects this consensus: the 44.5 % implied probability on 19 °C and 21.5 % on 18 °C together dominate, while the 17.5 % on 20 °C captures residual model spread or slight upward revisions possible with stronger insolation. Lower outcomes (17 °C or below) receive limited weight, consistent with overnight lows near 11–13 °C and daytime recovery under clearing conditions. Higher probabilities (21 °C+) remain discounted given the cool post-frontal air mass and lack of southerly advection.
No significant forecast shifts have emerged in the latest model runs, supporting the current market-implied distribution. Resolution will hinge on the official recorded maximum, typically measured at the Munich reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$8,798Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Munich on September 10, 2026, center on a daily maximum of 18–19 °C under partly cloudy skies following overnight clearing after widespread rain on the 9th.** Multiple models, including outputs aligned with DWD and ECMWF guidance, show afternoon highs reaching 18–19 °C (roughly 64–66 °F) with light easterly or northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This places the expected peak below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.5 °C for the date.
Trader positioning reflects this consensus: the 44.5 % implied probability on 19 °C and 21.5 % on 18 °C together dominate, while the 17.5 % on 20 °C captures residual model spread or slight upward revisions possible with stronger insolation. Lower outcomes (17 °C or below) receive limited weight, consistent with overnight lows near 11–13 °C and daytime recovery under clearing conditions. Higher probabilities (21 °C+) remain discounted given the cool post-frontal air mass and lack of southerly advection.
No significant forecast shifts have emerged in the latest model runs, supporting the current market-implied distribution. Resolution will hinge on the official recorded maximum, typically measured at the Munich reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,798Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Munich on September 10, 2026, center on a daily maximum of 18–19 °C under partly cloudy skies following overnight clearing after widespread rain on the 9th.** Multiple models, including outputs aligned with DWD and ECMWF guidance, show afternoon highs reaching 18–19 °C (roughly 64–66 °F) with light easterly or northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This places the expected peak below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.5 °C for the date. Trader positioning reflects this consensus: the 44.5 % implied probability on 19 °C and 21.5 % on 18 °C together dominate, while the 17.5 % on 20 °C captures residual model spread or slight upward revisions possible with stronger insolation. Lower outcomes (17 °C or below) receive limited weight, consistent with overnight lows near 11–13 °C and daytime recovery under clearing conditions. Higher probabilities (21 °C+) remain discounted given the cool post-frontal air mass and lack of southerly advection. No significant forecast shifts have emerged in the latest model runs, supporting the current market-implied distribution. Resolution will hinge on the official recorded maximum, typically measured at the Munich reference station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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