Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo's September 14 minimum temperature shows balanced uncertainty across outcomes, with 10°C or below and 20°C or higher each at 31.5% implied probability. Primary drivers include the variable strength of a potential cold front or polar air intrusion from southern Brazil versus stable subtropical high pressure that favors milder readings. Forecast models diverge on overnight radiative cooling under clear skies, wind patterns, and urban heat effects, producing a spread of projected lows near 12–18°C. Historical September baselines in the region average 13–16°C, but short-term model runs from agencies like INMET remain key ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 14. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 14. September?
10°C oder weniger 62%
20°C oder höher 62%
16°C 38%
17°C 38%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
10°C oder weniger
62%
11°C
17%
12°C
21%
13°C
27%
14°C
31%
15°C
22%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C
17%
19°C
15%
20°C oder höher
62%
10°C oder weniger 62%
20°C oder höher 62%
16°C 38%
17°C 38%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
10°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
62%
11°C
$72 Vol.
17%
12°C
$0 Vol.
21%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
31%
15°C
$0 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
38%
17°C
$0 Vol.
38%
18°C
$0 Vol.
17%
19°C
$0 Vol.
15%
20°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
62%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo's September 14 minimum temperature shows balanced uncertainty across outcomes, with 10°C or below and 20°C or higher each at 31.5% implied probability. Primary drivers include the variable strength of a potential cold front or polar air intrusion from southern Brazil versus stable subtropical high pressure that favors milder readings. Forecast models diverge on overnight radiative cooling under clear skies, wind patterns, and urban heat effects, producing a spread of projected lows near 12–18°C. Historical September baselines in the region average 13–16°C, but short-term model runs from agencies like INMET remain key ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volumen
$72Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo's September 14 minimum temperature shows balanced uncertainty across outcomes, with 10°C or below and 20°C or higher each at 31.5% implied probability. Primary drivers include the variable strength of a potential cold front or polar air intrusion from southern Brazil versus stable subtropical high pressure that favors milder readings. Forecast models diverge on overnight radiative cooling under clear skies, wind patterns, and urban heat effects, producing a spread of projected lows near 12–18°C. Historical September baselines in the region average 13–16°C, but short-term model runs from agencies like INMET remain key ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$72Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo's September 14 minimum temperature shows balanced uncertainty across outcomes, with 10°C or below and 20°C or higher each at 31.5% implied probability. Primary drivers include the variable strength of a potential cold front or polar air intrusion from southern Brazil versus stable subtropical high pressure that favors milder readings. Forecast models diverge on overnight radiative cooling under clear skies, wind patterns, and urban heat effects, producing a spread of projected lows near 12–18°C. Historical September baselines in the region average 13–16°C, but short-term model runs from agencies like INMET remain key ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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