Recent short-term forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and Globalmeteo indicate Karachi highs near 35–37°C on September 13, driven by strengthening westerly winds, reduced cloud cover, and residual post-monsoon moisture that limits extreme heating while sea breezes from the Arabian Sea provide moderation. Model runs show minor disagreements on afternoon peak timing and humidity levels, creating tight clustering around 36–38°C in market-implied odds. Historical September averages near 32–34°C with occasional spikes to 37°C+ under clear, low-wind conditions support the current trader consensus, though any late increase in cloudiness or showers could cap the daily maximum. Updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Karatschi am 13. September?
37°C 28%
38°C 23%
36°C 19%
39°C 10%
31°C oder darunter
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
5%
35°C
9%
36°C
19%
37°C
28%
38°C
23%
39°C
10%
40°C
2%
41°C oder höher
3%
37°C 28%
38°C 23%
36°C 19%
39°C 10%
31°C oder darunter
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
5%
35°C
9%
36°C
19%
37°C
28%
38°C
23%
39°C
10%
40°C
2%
41°C oder höher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and Globalmeteo indicate Karachi highs near 35–37°C on September 13, driven by strengthening westerly winds, reduced cloud cover, and residual post-monsoon moisture that limits extreme heating while sea breezes from the Arabian Sea provide moderation. Model runs show minor disagreements on afternoon peak timing and humidity levels, creating tight clustering around 36–38°C in market-implied odds. Historical September averages near 32–34°C with occasional spikes to 37°C+ under clear, low-wind conditions support the current trader consensus, though any late increase in cloudiness or showers could cap the daily maximum. Updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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