Recent forecasts indicate a shift to cooler westerly flow and frontal activity across central Russia, with model consensus pointing to widespread cloud cover, showers, and a high near 16–17 °C in Moscow on September 11. This follows a warmer September 10 under southerly flow, when readings reached the mid-20s. The implied probabilities—led by 17 °C at 41.5 % and 18 °C at 27.5 %—reflect trader assessment of this moderation against the September climatological average high of roughly 17 °C. Key variables include exact timing of any clearing and boundary-layer mixing; updated runs from global and regional models, along with Hydrometeorological Center guidance, will refine the range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 11. September?
17°C 48%
18°C 28%
16°C 16%
19°C 5%
12°C oder darunter
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
16%
17°C
48%
18°C
28%
19°C
5%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C oder höher
<1%
17°C 48%
18°C 28%
16°C 16%
19°C 5%
12°C oder darunter
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
16%
17°C
48%
18°C
28%
19°C
5%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate a shift to cooler westerly flow and frontal activity across central Russia, with model consensus pointing to widespread cloud cover, showers, and a high near 16–17 °C in Moscow on September 11. This follows a warmer September 10 under southerly flow, when readings reached the mid-20s. The implied probabilities—led by 17 °C at 41.5 % and 18 °C at 27.5 %—reflect trader assessment of this moderation against the September climatological average high of roughly 17 °C. Key variables include exact timing of any clearing and boundary-layer mixing; updated runs from global and regional models, along with Hydrometeorological Center guidance, will refine the range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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