Recent short-range forecast model runs show notable divergence in Moscow's overnight minimum for September 10, with some guidance favoring stronger radiative cooling under clearer skies while others indicate moderating southerly flow from an Azores anticyclone that could limit the drop. This uncertainty drives the closely matched market-implied odds, particularly the 42% on 4°C or below versus 39.5% on 14°C or higher, as traders weigh historical September climatology (typical lows near 9°C) against current trends of warming after early-month cool anomalies. Key variables include wind speed, cloud cover, and dew point depression overnight; official updates from the Hydrometeorological Center or fresh ensemble runs could quickly shift consensus ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 10. September?
4°C oder weniger 89%
14°C oder höher 72%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
4°C oder weniger
89%
5°C
40%
6°C
40%
7°C
22%
8°C
22%
9°C
24%
10°C
26%
11°C
25%
12°C
24%
13°C
22%
14°C oder höher
72%
4°C oder weniger 89%
14°C oder höher 72%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
4°C oder weniger
89%
5°C
40%
6°C
40%
7°C
22%
8°C
22%
9°C
24%
10°C
26%
11°C
25%
12°C
24%
13°C
22%
14°C oder höher
72%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast model runs show notable divergence in Moscow's overnight minimum for September 10, with some guidance favoring stronger radiative cooling under clearer skies while others indicate moderating southerly flow from an Azores anticyclone that could limit the drop. This uncertainty drives the closely matched market-implied odds, particularly the 42% on 4°C or below versus 39.5% on 14°C or higher, as traders weigh historical September climatology (typical lows near 9°C) against current trends of warming after early-month cool anomalies. Key variables include wind speed, cloud cover, and dew point depression overnight; official updates from the Hydrometeorological Center or fresh ensemble runs could quickly shift consensus ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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