Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Austin show a consensus high near 100°F on September 13 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal rain chances, positioning the 100-101°F outcome as the market leader at 39.5% implied probability. Persistent late-summer ridging and above-average baseline temperatures—September climatology averages 91.6°F with a 102°F record—support the strong trader weighting toward the 98-101°F range, while model runs indicate limited day-to-day variability and low odds of significant cooling or intensification. Official resolution will hinge on the highest verified reading at primary stations such as Austin-Bergstrom, with final NWS updates expected to refine confidence ahead of the event.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 13. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 13. September?
100-101 °F 48%
98-99°F 28%
102-103°F 24%
106-107°F 16%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
89°F oder darunter
7%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
28%
100-101 °F
40%
102-103°F
24%
104-105°F
10%
106-107°F
16%
108°F oder höher
9%
100-101 °F 48%
98-99°F 28%
102-103°F 24%
106-107°F 16%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
89°F oder darunter
$40 Vol.
7%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
9%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
9%
94-95°F
$70 Vol.
8%
96-97°F
$1 Vol.
11%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
28%
100-101 °F
$50 Vol.
40%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
24%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
10%
106-107°F
$0 Vol.
16%
108°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Austin show a consensus high near 100°F on September 13 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal rain chances, positioning the 100-101°F outcome as the market leader at 39.5% implied probability. Persistent late-summer ridging and above-average baseline temperatures—September climatology averages 91.6°F with a 102°F record—support the strong trader weighting toward the 98-101°F range, while model runs indicate limited day-to-day variability and low odds of significant cooling or intensification. Official resolution will hinge on the highest verified reading at primary stations such as Austin-Bergstrom, with final NWS updates expected to refine confidence ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$161Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Austin show a consensus high near 100°F on September 13 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal rain chances, positioning the 100-101°F outcome as the market leader at 39.5% implied probability. Persistent late-summer ridging and above-average baseline temperatures—September climatology averages 91.6°F with a 102°F record—support the strong trader weighting toward the 98-101°F range, while model runs indicate limited day-to-day variability and low odds of significant cooling or intensification. Official resolution will hinge on the highest verified reading at primary stations such as Austin-Bergstrom, with final NWS updates expected to refine confidence ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$161Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Austin show a consensus high near 100°F on September 13 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal rain chances, positioning the 100-101°F outcome as the market leader at 39.5% implied probability. Persistent late-summer ridging and above-average baseline temperatures—September climatology averages 91.6°F with a 102°F record—support the strong trader weighting toward the 98-101°F range, while model runs indicate limited day-to-day variability and low odds of significant cooling or intensification. Official resolution will hinge on the highest verified reading at primary stations such as Austin-Bergstrom, with final NWS updates expected to refine confidence ahead of the event.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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