Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Chicago on September 13 points to a daily minimum in the upper 50s to low 60s under partly cloudy skies with a modest chance of showers and northerly winds near 5–10 mph. This setup favors moderate overnight radiative cooling without strong cold-air advection, keeping temperatures near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of ~60°F. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 46% odds on the ≤53°F and ≥72°F tails appears driven by residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing, which can shift the minimum by several degrees either way. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs, plus any updated NWS forecast discussions, will likely tighten the distribution around the 58–63°F range as the event approaches.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 13. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 13. September?
53°F oder niedriger 63%
72°F oder höher 63%
68-69°F 39%
56-57°F 38%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
53°F oder niedriger
63%
54-55°F
28%
56-57°F
38%
58–59°F
28%
60-61°F
33%
62-63 °F
21%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
28%
72°F oder höher
63%
53°F oder niedriger 63%
72°F oder höher 63%
68-69°F 39%
56-57°F 38%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
53°F oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
63%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
28%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
38%
58–59°F
$0 Vol.
28%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
33%
62-63 °F
$0 Vol.
21%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
27%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
27%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
39%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
28%
72°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Chicago on September 13 points to a daily minimum in the upper 50s to low 60s under partly cloudy skies with a modest chance of showers and northerly winds near 5–10 mph. This setup favors moderate overnight radiative cooling without strong cold-air advection, keeping temperatures near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of ~60°F. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 46% odds on the ≤53°F and ≥72°F tails appears driven by residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing, which can shift the minimum by several degrees either way. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs, plus any updated NWS forecast discussions, will likely tighten the distribution around the 58–63°F range as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Chicago on September 13 points to a daily minimum in the upper 50s to low 60s under partly cloudy skies with a modest chance of showers and northerly winds near 5–10 mph. This setup favors moderate overnight radiative cooling without strong cold-air advection, keeping temperatures near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of ~60°F. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 46% odds on the ≤53°F and ≥72°F tails appears driven by residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing, which can shift the minimum by several degrees either way. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs, plus any updated NWS forecast discussions, will likely tighten the distribution around the 58–63°F range as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Chicago on September 13 points to a daily minimum in the upper 50s to low 60s under partly cloudy skies with a modest chance of showers and northerly winds near 5–10 mph. This setup favors moderate overnight radiative cooling without strong cold-air advection, keeping temperatures near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of ~60°F. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 46% odds on the ≤53°F and ≥72°F tails appears driven by residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing, which can shift the minimum by several degrees either way. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs, plus any updated NWS forecast discussions, will likely tighten the distribution around the 58–63°F range as the event approaches.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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