Latest numerical weather prediction models from GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 19–20 °C in Amsterdam on September 11, driven by persistent low-level cloud cover, light rain, and moderate southerly to westerly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 20 °C (45.5 %) and 19 °C (23.5 %), while the 23 % implied probability for 21 °C reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon clearing. Historical climatology places typical early-September maxima around 18–20 °C, providing context for the current consensus. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak and any local variations from the North Sea influence.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 11. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 11. September?
20°C 46%
19°C 30%
21°C 24%
17°C 9%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
14°C oder niedriger
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
9%
18°C
8%
19°C
24%
20°C
46%
21°C
24%
22°C
5%
23°C
4%
24°C oder höher
1%
20°C 46%
19°C 30%
21°C 24%
17°C 9%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
14°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
2%
15°C
$0 Vol.
2%
16°C
$0 Vol.
3%
17°C
$0 Vol.
9%
18°C
$0 Vol.
8%
19°C
$29 Vol.
24%
20°C
$105 Vol.
46%
21°C
$0 Vol.
24%
22°C
$0 Vol.
5%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 19–20 °C in Amsterdam on September 11, driven by persistent low-level cloud cover, light rain, and moderate southerly to westerly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 20 °C (45.5 %) and 19 °C (23.5 %), while the 23 % implied probability for 21 °C reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon clearing. Historical climatology places typical early-September maxima around 18–20 °C, providing context for the current consensus. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak and any local variations from the North Sea influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$134Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 19–20 °C in Amsterdam on September 11, driven by persistent low-level cloud cover, light rain, and moderate southerly to westerly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 20 °C (45.5 %) and 19 °C (23.5 %), while the 23 % implied probability for 21 °C reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon clearing. Historical climatology places typical early-September maxima around 18–20 °C, providing context for the current consensus. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak and any local variations from the North Sea influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$134Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 19–20 °C in Amsterdam on September 11, driven by persistent low-level cloud cover, light rain, and moderate southerly to westerly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 20 °C (45.5 %) and 19 °C (23.5 %), while the 23 % implied probability for 21 °C reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon clearing. Historical climatology places typical early-September maxima around 18–20 °C, providing context for the current consensus. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak and any local variations from the North Sea influence.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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