Recent forecast models indicate a high of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 13, with scattered showers and thunderstorms limiting daytime heating under persistent cloud cover. Seasonal September norms near 25°C provide context, yet current atmospheric conditions—including elevated humidity, easterly flow, and instability from a nearby low-pressure system—favor suppressed maxima according to outputs from regional and global ensembles. Traders appear to weigh historical baselines and occasional model runs showing brief clearing against the high probability of rain, concentrating implied probability on 25°C while assigning meaningful weight to 26°C. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance expected overnight represent the next key data points that could shift these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 13. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 13. September?
25°C 55%
26°C 32%
24°C 10%
27°C oder höher 6%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
17°C oder darunter
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
10%
25°C
55%
26°C
32%
27°C oder höher
6%
25°C 55%
26°C 32%
24°C 10%
27°C oder höher 6%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
17°C oder darunter
$110 Vol.
1%
18°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$80 Vol.
1%
21°C
$90 Vol.
1%
22°C
$37 Vol.
1%
23°C
$68 Vol.
3%
24°C
$33 Vol.
10%
25°C
$189 Vol.
55%
26°C
$525 Vol.
32%
27°C oder höher
$120 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate a high of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 13, with scattered showers and thunderstorms limiting daytime heating under persistent cloud cover. Seasonal September norms near 25°C provide context, yet current atmospheric conditions—including elevated humidity, easterly flow, and instability from a nearby low-pressure system—favor suppressed maxima according to outputs from regional and global ensembles. Traders appear to weigh historical baselines and occasional model runs showing brief clearing against the high probability of rain, concentrating implied probability on 25°C while assigning meaningful weight to 26°C. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance expected overnight represent the next key data points that could shift these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,311Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 8:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate a high of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 13, with scattered showers and thunderstorms limiting daytime heating under persistent cloud cover. Seasonal September norms near 25°C provide context, yet current atmospheric conditions—including elevated humidity, easterly flow, and instability from a nearby low-pressure system—favor suppressed maxima according to outputs from regional and global ensembles. Traders appear to weigh historical baselines and occasional model runs showing brief clearing against the high probability of rain, concentrating implied probability on 25°C while assigning meaningful weight to 26°C. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance expected overnight represent the next key data points that could shift these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,311Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 8:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate a high of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 13, with scattered showers and thunderstorms limiting daytime heating under persistent cloud cover. Seasonal September norms near 25°C provide context, yet current atmospheric conditions—including elevated humidity, easterly flow, and instability from a nearby low-pressure system—favor suppressed maxima according to outputs from regional and global ensembles. Traders appear to weigh historical baselines and occasional model runs showing brief clearing against the high probability of rain, concentrating implied probability on 25°C while assigning meaningful weight to 26°C. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance expected overnight represent the next key data points that could shift these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen