**Trader consensus centers on 29–30°C as the most likely peak for Qingdao on September 14, reflecting model outputs under clear, stable high-pressure conditions with light variable winds.** Coastal Qingdao experiences moderating sea breezes from the Yellow Sea that typically cap daytime maxima near or slightly above late-summer averages of 25–27°C. Recent forecasts show spread between 26°C and 29°C, driven by differences in predicted wind direction shifts (north to south), cloud cover timing, and boundary-layer mixing. Higher-end outcomes gain support from warmer advection patterns and minimal marine cooling on sunny days, while lower probabilities for 31°C+ reflect the limited potential for strong solar heating this late in the season. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum from the primary Qingdao station, with final readings expected shortly after sunset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 14. September?
29°C 48%
30°C 39%
31°C 8%
28°C 7%
24°C oder niedriger
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
48%
30°C
39%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
29°C 48%
30°C 39%
31°C 8%
28°C 7%
24°C oder niedriger
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
48%
30°C
39%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 29–30°C as the most likely peak for Qingdao on September 14, reflecting model outputs under clear, stable high-pressure conditions with light variable winds.** Coastal Qingdao experiences moderating sea breezes from the Yellow Sea that typically cap daytime maxima near or slightly above late-summer averages of 25–27°C. Recent forecasts show spread between 26°C and 29°C, driven by differences in predicted wind direction shifts (north to south), cloud cover timing, and boundary-layer mixing. Higher-end outcomes gain support from warmer advection patterns and minimal marine cooling on sunny days, while lower probabilities for 31°C+ reflect the limited potential for strong solar heating this late in the season. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum from the primary Qingdao station, with final readings expected shortly after sunset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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