Forecast models from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and GFS consensus point to a maximum of 24–25°C in Incheon on September 13 under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward those two outcomes, reflecting traders' assessment of current atmospheric conditions and limited warming potential from seasonal norms around 25–26°C. Recent observations show overnight lows near 20°C with stable high pressure, while model runs indicate little day-to-day variability and no incoming fronts to alter the trajectory before resolution. Uncertainty remains around exact peak timing and localized measurement differences between stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 13. September?
25°C 53%
24°C 28%
26°C 14%
23°C 7%
$10,640 Vol.
$10,640 Vol.
19°C oder weniger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
28%
25°C
53%
26°C
14%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
25°C 53%
24°C 28%
26°C 14%
23°C 7%
$10,640 Vol.
$10,640 Vol.
19°C oder weniger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
28%
25°C
53%
26°C
14%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and GFS consensus point to a maximum of 24–25°C in Incheon on September 13 under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward those two outcomes, reflecting traders' assessment of current atmospheric conditions and limited warming potential from seasonal norms around 25–26°C. Recent observations show overnight lows near 20°C with stable high pressure, while model runs indicate little day-to-day variability and no incoming fronts to alter the trajectory before resolution. Uncertainty remains around exact peak timing and localized measurement differences between stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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