Recent MetService and ECMWF model guidance for Wellington points to a maximum of 13–14°C on September 12 under mainly fine conditions with a low shower risk and southwesterly winds shifting northwesterly. This stems from a cold front clearing the region, followed by a building ridge that limits cloud cover and supports modest daytime warming typical of early spring in the southern mid-latitudes. Historical climatology shows September daily highs averaging near 13–14°C, so current forecasts align closely with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Minor model spread in afternoon peak timing and any residual moisture keeps implied probabilities evenly distributed across 12–15°C, reflecting genuine short-range uncertainty in exact maximum rather than divergent scenarios. Updated official briefings and next model runs will further refine resolution thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 12. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 12. September?
14°C 52%
15°C 34%
13 °C 17%
12°C 15%
NEU
NEU
12. Sep. 2026
8°C oder niedriger
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
8%
12°C
15%
13 °C
17%
14°C
52%
15°C
34%
16°C
4%
17°C
3%
18°C oder höher
2%
14°C 52%
15°C 34%
13 °C 17%
12°C 15%
NEU
NEU
12. Sep. 2026
8°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
1%
9°C
$0 Vol.
1%
10°C
$0 Vol.
3%
11°C
$0 Vol.
8%
12°C
$0 Vol.
15%
13 °C
$50 Vol.
17%
14°C
$79 Vol.
52%
15°C
$0 Vol.
34%
16°C
$0 Vol.
4%
17°C
$0 Vol.
3%
18°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and ECMWF model guidance for Wellington points to a maximum of 13–14°C on September 12 under mainly fine conditions with a low shower risk and southwesterly winds shifting northwesterly. This stems from a cold front clearing the region, followed by a building ridge that limits cloud cover and supports modest daytime warming typical of early spring in the southern mid-latitudes. Historical climatology shows September daily highs averaging near 13–14°C, so current forecasts align closely with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Minor model spread in afternoon peak timing and any residual moisture keeps implied probabilities evenly distributed across 12–15°C, reflecting genuine short-range uncertainty in exact maximum rather than divergent scenarios. Updated official briefings and next model runs will further refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$129Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and ECMWF model guidance for Wellington points to a maximum of 13–14°C on September 12 under mainly fine conditions with a low shower risk and southwesterly winds shifting northwesterly. This stems from a cold front clearing the region, followed by a building ridge that limits cloud cover and supports modest daytime warming typical of early spring in the southern mid-latitudes. Historical climatology shows September daily highs averaging near 13–14°C, so current forecasts align closely with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Minor model spread in afternoon peak timing and any residual moisture keeps implied probabilities evenly distributed across 12–15°C, reflecting genuine short-range uncertainty in exact maximum rather than divergent scenarios. Updated official briefings and next model runs will further refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$129Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and ECMWF model guidance for Wellington points to a maximum of 13–14°C on September 12 under mainly fine conditions with a low shower risk and southwesterly winds shifting northwesterly. This stems from a cold front clearing the region, followed by a building ridge that limits cloud cover and supports modest daytime warming typical of early spring in the southern mid-latitudes. Historical climatology shows September daily highs averaging near 13–14°C, so current forecasts align closely with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Minor model spread in afternoon peak timing and any residual moisture keeps implied probabilities evenly distributed across 12–15°C, reflecting genuine short-range uncertainty in exact maximum rather than divergent scenarios. Updated official briefings and next model runs will further refine resolution thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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