Current forecasts from models such as GFS and agency guidance project overnight lows in the upper 60s to near 68°F for Los Angeles on September 14, driven by typical September marine layer influence and light onshore flow that promotes modest nocturnal cooling after daytime highs near 80°F. This aligns with the elevated market-implied odds on the 68-69°F and 70-71°F outcomes. Warmer bins like 78°F or higher receive the highest probability share due to uncertainty over reduced marine layer coverage or subtle offshore wind shifts that could limit cooling below historical September averages around 64°F. Recent observations of persistently mild nights and model consensus on minimal synoptic forcing sustain trader focus on these thresholds ahead of final verification data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 14. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 14. September?
78°F oder höher 45%
64-65°F 36%
62-63°F 35%
72-73°F 35%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
59°F oder darunter
17%
60-61°F
13%
62-63°F
35%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
37%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
13%
78°F oder höher
45%
78°F oder höher 45%
64-65°F 36%
62-63°F 35%
72-73°F 35%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
59°F oder darunter
$0 Vol.
17%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
13%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
35%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
36%
66-67°F
$69 Vol.
11%
68-69°F
$137 Vol.
37%
70-71°F
$112 Vol.
22%
72-73°F
$85 Vol.
35%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
14%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
13%
78°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models such as GFS and agency guidance project overnight lows in the upper 60s to near 68°F for Los Angeles on September 14, driven by typical September marine layer influence and light onshore flow that promotes modest nocturnal cooling after daytime highs near 80°F. This aligns with the elevated market-implied odds on the 68-69°F and 70-71°F outcomes. Warmer bins like 78°F or higher receive the highest probability share due to uncertainty over reduced marine layer coverage or subtle offshore wind shifts that could limit cooling below historical September averages around 64°F. Recent observations of persistently mild nights and model consensus on minimal synoptic forcing sustain trader focus on these thresholds ahead of final verification data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volumen
$403Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models such as GFS and agency guidance project overnight lows in the upper 60s to near 68°F for Los Angeles on September 14, driven by typical September marine layer influence and light onshore flow that promotes modest nocturnal cooling after daytime highs near 80°F. This aligns with the elevated market-implied odds on the 68-69°F and 70-71°F outcomes. Warmer bins like 78°F or higher receive the highest probability share due to uncertainty over reduced marine layer coverage or subtle offshore wind shifts that could limit cooling below historical September averages around 64°F. Recent observations of persistently mild nights and model consensus on minimal synoptic forcing sustain trader focus on these thresholds ahead of final verification data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$403Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models such as GFS and agency guidance project overnight lows in the upper 60s to near 68°F for Los Angeles on September 14, driven by typical September marine layer influence and light onshore flow that promotes modest nocturnal cooling after daytime highs near 80°F. This aligns with the elevated market-implied odds on the 68-69°F and 70-71°F outcomes. Warmer bins like 78°F or higher receive the highest probability share due to uncertainty over reduced marine layer coverage or subtle offshore wind shifts that could limit cooling below historical September averages around 64°F. Recent observations of persistently mild nights and model consensus on minimal synoptic forcing sustain trader focus on these thresholds ahead of final verification data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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