**Forecast uncertainty across global models is the main driver behind the closely matched probabilities for Cape Town’s September 13 high temperature, with outcomes from 25–29 °C each holding roughly 18–22 % implied odds.** September marks early spring in the Southern Hemisphere, when average daily maxima hover near 19 °C; however, recent model runs show divergence driven by the position and strength of the South Atlantic high, southeasterly wind strength, and the timing of any approaching cold front or moisture surge. Stronger onshore flow tends to cap temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s °C, while lighter winds or warmer advection can push readings toward 27–29 °C. Ensemble spreads and the 48-hour proximity to resolution keep the distribution broad, with lower-probability cooler outcomes reflecting the chance of increased cloud cover or earlier frontal passage. Traders are effectively pricing the range of plausible NWP solutions rather than a single deterministic value.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 13. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 13. September?
22°C 21%
23°C 18%
25°C 18%
24°C 17%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
19°C oder niedriger
3%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
21%
23°C
18%
24°C
17%
25°C
18%
26°C
12%
27°C
11%
28°C
7%
29°C oder höher
3%
22°C 21%
23°C 18%
25°C 18%
24°C 17%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
19°C oder niedriger
$52 Vol.
3%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$20 Vol.
3%
22°C
$0 Vol.
21%
23°C
$0 Vol.
18%
24°C
$0 Vol.
17%
25°C
$60 Vol.
18%
26°C
$60 Vol.
12%
27°C
$20 Vol.
11%
28°C
$9 Vol.
7%
29°C oder höher
$679 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty across global models is the main driver behind the closely matched probabilities for Cape Town’s September 13 high temperature, with outcomes from 25–29 °C each holding roughly 18–22 % implied odds.** September marks early spring in the Southern Hemisphere, when average daily maxima hover near 19 °C; however, recent model runs show divergence driven by the position and strength of the South Atlantic high, southeasterly wind strength, and the timing of any approaching cold front or moisture surge. Stronger onshore flow tends to cap temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s °C, while lighter winds or warmer advection can push readings toward 27–29 °C. Ensemble spreads and the 48-hour proximity to resolution keep the distribution broad, with lower-probability cooler outcomes reflecting the chance of increased cloud cover or earlier frontal passage. Traders are effectively pricing the range of plausible NWP solutions rather than a single deterministic value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$900Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty across global models is the main driver behind the closely matched probabilities for Cape Town’s September 13 high temperature, with outcomes from 25–29 °C each holding roughly 18–22 % implied odds.** September marks early spring in the Southern Hemisphere, when average daily maxima hover near 19 °C; however, recent model runs show divergence driven by the position and strength of the South Atlantic high, southeasterly wind strength, and the timing of any approaching cold front or moisture surge. Stronger onshore flow tends to cap temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s °C, while lighter winds or warmer advection can push readings toward 27–29 °C. Ensemble spreads and the 48-hour proximity to resolution keep the distribution broad, with lower-probability cooler outcomes reflecting the chance of increased cloud cover or earlier frontal passage. Traders are effectively pricing the range of plausible NWP solutions rather than a single deterministic value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$900Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty across global models is the main driver behind the closely matched probabilities for Cape Town’s September 13 high temperature, with outcomes from 25–29 °C each holding roughly 18–22 % implied odds.** September marks early spring in the Southern Hemisphere, when average daily maxima hover near 19 °C; however, recent model runs show divergence driven by the position and strength of the South Atlantic high, southeasterly wind strength, and the timing of any approaching cold front or moisture surge. Stronger onshore flow tends to cap temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s °C, while lighter winds or warmer advection can push readings toward 27–29 °C. Ensemble spreads and the 48-hour proximity to resolution keep the distribution broad, with lower-probability cooler outcomes reflecting the chance of increased cloud cover or earlier frontal passage. Traders are effectively pricing the range of plausible NWP solutions rather than a single deterministic value.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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