Recent forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and light showers will limit solar insolation in Chongqing on September 11, keeping the daily maximum near 24–26°C rather than allowing stronger afternoon heating. Subtropical humidity and light southwest winds are expected to moderate surface temperatures, with model consensus showing only modest diurnal rises from overnight lows around 18–21°C. Slight variations in cloud thickness or precipitation timing across ensemble runs explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24°C and 25°C, as even modest increases in sunshine could push readings toward 26°C while heavier or earlier rain would favor 23°C or below. Official updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 11. September?
25°C 31%
26°C 24%
24 °C 21%
23°C oder darunter 11%
23°C oder darunter
11%
24 °C
21%
25°C
31%
26°C
24%
27°C
11%
28°C
4%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C oder höher
<1%
25°C 31%
26°C 24%
24 °C 21%
23°C oder darunter 11%
23°C oder darunter
11%
24 °C
21%
25°C
31%
26°C
24%
27°C
11%
28°C
4%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and light showers will limit solar insolation in Chongqing on September 11, keeping the daily maximum near 24–26°C rather than allowing stronger afternoon heating. Subtropical humidity and light southwest winds are expected to moderate surface temperatures, with model consensus showing only modest diurnal rises from overnight lows around 18–21°C. Slight variations in cloud thickness or precipitation timing across ensemble runs explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24°C and 25°C, as even modest increases in sunshine could push readings toward 26°C while heavier or earlier rain would favor 23°C or below. Official updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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