**Trader consensus centers on a 25°C daily maximum in Mexico City today, with 56% implied probability for exactly 25°C and 33% for 26°C or higher.** Current forecasts from multiple models project afternoon highs of 23–25°C (roughly 73–77°F) under partly to mostly cloudy skies with 70–90% rain and thunderstorm chances, typical for the September rainy season at the city’s high elevation. Persistent humidity near 80% and widespread cloud cover are expected to limit peak solar heating, while light northeasterly winds offer minimal additional warming. These conditions align with the long-term September average high of 25°C and explain why probabilities cluster around 25–26°C rather than extremes. Official resolution will use the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional or equivalent station reading for the calendar-day maximum; no major forecast shifts have emerged in the latest model runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 12. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 12. September?
25°C 57%
26°C oder höher 34%
24°C 6%
22°C 1.2%
$12,182 Vol.
$12,182 Vol.
12. Sep. 2026
16°C oder weniger
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
57%
26°C oder höher
34%
25°C 57%
26°C oder höher 34%
24°C 6%
22°C 1.2%
$12,182 Vol.
$12,182 Vol.
12. Sep. 2026
16°C oder weniger
$127 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$127 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$127 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$329 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$336 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$417 Vol.
1%
23°C
$837 Vol.
1%
24°C
$2,013 Vol.
6%
25°C
$2,748 Vol.
57%
26°C oder höher
$5,010 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 25°C daily maximum in Mexico City today, with 56% implied probability for exactly 25°C and 33% for 26°C or higher.** Current forecasts from multiple models project afternoon highs of 23–25°C (roughly 73–77°F) under partly to mostly cloudy skies with 70–90% rain and thunderstorm chances, typical for the September rainy season at the city’s high elevation. Persistent humidity near 80% and widespread cloud cover are expected to limit peak solar heating, while light northeasterly winds offer minimal additional warming. These conditions align with the long-term September average high of 25°C and explain why probabilities cluster around 25–26°C rather than extremes. Official resolution will use the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional or equivalent station reading for the calendar-day maximum; no major forecast shifts have emerged in the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volumen
$12,182Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 25°C daily maximum in Mexico City today, with 56% implied probability for exactly 25°C and 33% for 26°C or higher.** Current forecasts from multiple models project afternoon highs of 23–25°C (roughly 73–77°F) under partly to mostly cloudy skies with 70–90% rain and thunderstorm chances, typical for the September rainy season at the city’s high elevation. Persistent humidity near 80% and widespread cloud cover are expected to limit peak solar heating, while light northeasterly winds offer minimal additional warming. These conditions align with the long-term September average high of 25°C and explain why probabilities cluster around 25–26°C rather than extremes. Official resolution will use the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional or equivalent station reading for the calendar-day maximum; no major forecast shifts have emerged in the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,182Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 25°C daily maximum in Mexico City today, with 56% implied probability for exactly 25°C and 33% for 26°C or higher.** Current forecasts from multiple models project afternoon highs of 23–25°C (roughly 73–77°F) under partly to mostly cloudy skies with 70–90% rain and thunderstorm chances, typical for the September rainy season at the city’s high elevation. Persistent humidity near 80% and widespread cloud cover are expected to limit peak solar heating, while light northeasterly winds offer minimal additional warming. These conditions align with the long-term September average high of 25°C and explain why probabilities cluster around 25–26°C rather than extremes. Official resolution will use the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional or equivalent station reading for the calendar-day maximum; no major forecast shifts have emerged in the latest model runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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