Recent forecasts from models including GFS and guidance from Météo-France indicate a maximum temperature of 24–26°C in Paris on September 12 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 25°C (41.5%) and 26°C (27.5%), as current runs show afternoon peaks around 25°C with minimal precipitation risk. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context, but the absence of cooler air advection or cloud cover keeps odds centered on the mid-20s range. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine exact highs ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 12. September?
25°C 43%
26°C 36%
24°C 13%
27°C 8%
20°C oder darunter
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
13%
25°C
43%
26°C
36%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C oder höher
2%
25°C 43%
26°C 36%
24°C 13%
27°C 8%
20°C oder darunter
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
13%
25°C
43%
26°C
36%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and guidance from Météo-France indicate a maximum temperature of 24–26°C in Paris on September 12 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 25°C (41.5%) and 26°C (27.5%), as current runs show afternoon peaks around 25°C with minimal precipitation risk. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context, but the absence of cooler air advection or cloud cover keeps odds centered on the mid-20s range. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine exact highs ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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