Recent forecasts from Environment Canada-aligned models and ensemble runs indicate northwest flow and clear skies overnight into September 14 will promote radiational cooling, with projected minimums clustered near 13–15 °C—close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 14.2 °C. This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, yet market-implied odds remain nearly even between 6 °C or below and 16 °C or higher because short-range model spreads still allow for modest shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal timing that could alter the nocturnal minimum by several degrees. Updated runs expected from the National Weather Service and Canadian Meteorological Centre over the next 24–48 hours will narrow that range and likely realign trader consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Toronto am 14. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Toronto am 14. September?
6°C oder weniger 100%
16°C oder höher 98%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
6°C oder weniger
100%
7°C
37%
8°C
38%
9°C
38%
10°C
37%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
39%
14°C
38%
15°C
38%
16°C oder höher
98%
6°C oder weniger 100%
16°C oder höher 98%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
6°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
100%
7°C
$0 Vol.
37%
8°C
$0 Vol.
38%
9°C
$0 Vol.
38%
10°C
$0 Vol.
37%
11°C
$0 Vol.
40%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
39%
14°C
$0 Vol.
38%
15°C
$0 Vol.
38%
16°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada-aligned models and ensemble runs indicate northwest flow and clear skies overnight into September 14 will promote radiational cooling, with projected minimums clustered near 13–15 °C—close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 14.2 °C. This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, yet market-implied odds remain nearly even between 6 °C or below and 16 °C or higher because short-range model spreads still allow for modest shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal timing that could alter the nocturnal minimum by several degrees. Updated runs expected from the National Weather Service and Canadian Meteorological Centre over the next 24–48 hours will narrow that range and likely realign trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada-aligned models and ensemble runs indicate northwest flow and clear skies overnight into September 14 will promote radiational cooling, with projected minimums clustered near 13–15 °C—close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 14.2 °C. This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, yet market-implied odds remain nearly even between 6 °C or below and 16 °C or higher because short-range model spreads still allow for modest shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal timing that could alter the nocturnal minimum by several degrees. Updated runs expected from the National Weather Service and Canadian Meteorological Centre over the next 24–48 hours will narrow that range and likely realign trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Environment Canada-aligned models and ensemble runs indicate northwest flow and clear skies overnight into September 14 will promote radiational cooling, with projected minimums clustered near 13–15 °C—close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 14.2 °C. This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, yet market-implied odds remain nearly even between 6 °C or below and 16 °C or higher because short-range model spreads still allow for modest shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal timing that could alter the nocturnal minimum by several degrees. Updated runs expected from the National Weather Service and Canadian Meteorological Centre over the next 24–48 hours will narrow that range and likely realign trader consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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