Recent forecasts from multiple models highlight a cut-off low pressure system driving persistent cloud cover, showers, and moderate northwest winds across Cape Town on September 15, limiting overnight radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 13–14°C. Northerly flow and high humidity further moderate extremes, consistent with spring climatology where such synoptic setups suppress both sharp drops below 10°C and spikes above 18°C. Trader sentiment reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around shower timing and wind shifts, which can alter the precise low by 1–2°C, with new model runs and South African Weather Service guidance expected to clarify resolution criteria before the market settles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 15. September?
9°C oder weniger 90%
19°C oder höher 90%
18°C 38%
12°C 22%
9°C oder weniger
90%
10°C
20%
11°C
20%
12°C
22%
13°C
22%
14°C
22%
15°C
20%
16°C
8%
17°C
1%
18°C
38%
19°C oder höher
90%
9°C oder weniger 90%
19°C oder höher 90%
18°C 38%
12°C 22%
9°C oder weniger
90%
10°C
20%
11°C
20%
12°C
22%
13°C
22%
14°C
22%
15°C
20%
16°C
8%
17°C
1%
18°C
38%
19°C oder höher
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models highlight a cut-off low pressure system driving persistent cloud cover, showers, and moderate northwest winds across Cape Town on September 15, limiting overnight radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 13–14°C. Northerly flow and high humidity further moderate extremes, consistent with spring climatology where such synoptic setups suppress both sharp drops below 10°C and spikes above 18°C. Trader sentiment reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around shower timing and wind shifts, which can alter the precise low by 1–2°C, with new model runs and South African Weather Service guidance expected to clarify resolution criteria before the market settles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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