Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a high of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 13, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under autumnal conditions with highs near seasonal norms of 16–20°C. Recent runs show tight consensus around 20°C as the most probable maximum, with light precipitation risk and dew points supporting modest afternoon peaks. Trader emphasis on the 20°C outcome reflects this model agreement and minimal expected variability, while the spread to 19°C and 21°C accounts for minor steering or timing uncertainties in final observational data from official monitoring networks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 13. September?
20°C 51%
19°C 25%
21°C 19%
23°C 6%
14°C oder weniger
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
25%
20°C
51%
21°C
19%
22°C
4%
23°C
6%
24°C oder höher
<1%
20°C 51%
19°C 25%
21°C 19%
23°C 6%
14°C oder weniger
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
25%
20°C
51%
21°C
19%
22°C
4%
23°C
6%
24°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a high of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 13, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under autumnal conditions with highs near seasonal norms of 16–20°C. Recent runs show tight consensus around 20°C as the most probable maximum, with light precipitation risk and dew points supporting modest afternoon peaks. Trader emphasis on the 20°C outcome reflects this model agreement and minimal expected variability, while the spread to 19°C and 21°C accounts for minor steering or timing uncertainties in final observational data from official monitoring networks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen