Forecast models from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF currently indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 13 clustering near 7–9°C, driving the tight market clustering around those outcomes as traders weigh model consensus against uncertainty in radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Recent high-pressure building has suppressed cloud cover and precipitation, favoring clearer conditions that enhance surface heat loss after sunset, while slight variations in dew point and wind speed could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 10°C, so current cooler guidance reflects transient autumnal advection. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening will refine resolution criteria based on official station readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 13. September?
5°C oder darunter 41%
15°C oder höher 41%
6°C 37%
13°C 37%
5°C oder darunter
41%
6°C
21%
7°C
34%
8°C
28%
9°C
24%
10°C
16%
11°C
18%
12°C
10%
13°C
37%
14°C
8%
15°C oder höher
41%
5°C oder darunter 41%
15°C oder höher 41%
6°C 37%
13°C 37%
5°C oder darunter
41%
6°C
21%
7°C
34%
8°C
28%
9°C
24%
10°C
16%
11°C
18%
12°C
10%
13°C
37%
14°C
8%
15°C oder höher
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF currently indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 13 clustering near 7–9°C, driving the tight market clustering around those outcomes as traders weigh model consensus against uncertainty in radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Recent high-pressure building has suppressed cloud cover and precipitation, favoring clearer conditions that enhance surface heat loss after sunset, while slight variations in dew point and wind speed could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 10°C, so current cooler guidance reflects transient autumnal advection. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening will refine resolution criteria based on official station readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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