Recent forecasts from National Weather Service models indicate a cooler air mass advecting into the Chicago region ahead of September 14, with southeast winds and increased cloud cover limiting daytime insolation and capping highs near 70–74°F. This setup follows a warmer weekend pattern and aligns with ensemble consensus showing suppressed temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76.7°F. Key variables include boundary layer moisture, wind direction shifts, and any late adjustments in the GFS or ECMWF runs that could alter the peak by a degree or two. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering around 70–73°F as traders weigh the latest model guidance and historical analogs for mid-September conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chicago am 14. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Chicago am 14. September?
72-73°F 31%
70-71°F 29%
76-77°F 20%
74-75°F 18%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
63°F oder niedriger
3%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
3%
82°F oder höher
2%
72-73°F 31%
70-71°F 29%
76-77°F 20%
74-75°F 18%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
63°F oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
3%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
7%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
9%
68-69°F
$11 Vol.
13%
70-71°F
$12 Vol.
29%
72-73°F
$58 Vol.
31%
74-75°F
$35 Vol.
18%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
20%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
16%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
3%
82°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from National Weather Service models indicate a cooler air mass advecting into the Chicago region ahead of September 14, with southeast winds and increased cloud cover limiting daytime insolation and capping highs near 70–74°F. This setup follows a warmer weekend pattern and aligns with ensemble consensus showing suppressed temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76.7°F. Key variables include boundary layer moisture, wind direction shifts, and any late adjustments in the GFS or ECMWF runs that could alter the peak by a degree or two. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering around 70–73°F as traders weigh the latest model guidance and historical analogs for mid-September conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$116Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from National Weather Service models indicate a cooler air mass advecting into the Chicago region ahead of September 14, with southeast winds and increased cloud cover limiting daytime insolation and capping highs near 70–74°F. This setup follows a warmer weekend pattern and aligns with ensemble consensus showing suppressed temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76.7°F. Key variables include boundary layer moisture, wind direction shifts, and any late adjustments in the GFS or ECMWF runs that could alter the peak by a degree or two. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering around 70–73°F as traders weigh the latest model guidance and historical analogs for mid-September conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$116Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from National Weather Service models indicate a cooler air mass advecting into the Chicago region ahead of September 14, with southeast winds and increased cloud cover limiting daytime insolation and capping highs near 70–74°F. This setup follows a warmer weekend pattern and aligns with ensemble consensus showing suppressed temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76.7°F. Key variables include boundary layer moisture, wind direction shifts, and any late adjustments in the GFS or ECMWF runs that could alter the peak by a degree or two. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering around 70–73°F as traders weigh the latest model guidance and historical analogs for mid-September conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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