Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration show the overnight minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area stabilizing near 20°C on September 13, reflecting typical late-summer synoptic patterns with minimal cold-air advection. Ensemble model guidance exhibits tight clustering around this value, consistent with historical climatology for the period and current surface observations from regional stations. The market's 99% implied probability on 20°C captures this narrow uncertainty range and the short time remaining until resolution. A realistic shift could arise from an unexpected strengthening of northerly winds or localized radiative cooling under clearer skies, potentially dropping readings by 1–2°C at the official Incheon site.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 13. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 13. September?
20°C 99%
18°C 2%
19°C 1.0%
17°C <1%
$10,495 Vol.
$10,495 Vol.
13. Sep. 2026
16°C oder darunter
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C oder höher
<1%
20°C 99%
18°C 2%
19°C 1.0%
17°C <1%
$10,495 Vol.
$10,495 Vol.
13. Sep. 2026
16°C oder darunter
$254 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$623 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,025 Vol.
2%
19°C
$1,066 Vol.
1%
20°C
$3,783 Vol.
99%
21°C
$1,913 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$490 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$474 Vol.
<1%
26°C oder höher
$337 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration show the overnight minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area stabilizing near 20°C on September 13, reflecting typical late-summer synoptic patterns with minimal cold-air advection. Ensemble model guidance exhibits tight clustering around this value, consistent with historical climatology for the period and current surface observations from regional stations. The market's 99% implied probability on 20°C captures this narrow uncertainty range and the short time remaining until resolution. A realistic shift could arise from an unexpected strengthening of northerly winds or localized radiative cooling under clearer skies, potentially dropping readings by 1–2°C at the official Incheon site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$10,495Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration show the overnight minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area stabilizing near 20°C on September 13, reflecting typical late-summer synoptic patterns with minimal cold-air advection. Ensemble model guidance exhibits tight clustering around this value, consistent with historical climatology for the period and current surface observations from regional stations. The market's 99% implied probability on 20°C captures this narrow uncertainty range and the short time remaining until resolution. A realistic shift could arise from an unexpected strengthening of northerly winds or localized radiative cooling under clearer skies, potentially dropping readings by 1–2°C at the official Incheon site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,495Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration show the overnight minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area stabilizing near 20°C on September 13, reflecting typical late-summer synoptic patterns with minimal cold-air advection. Ensemble model guidance exhibits tight clustering around this value, consistent with historical climatology for the period and current surface observations from regional stations. The market's 99% implied probability on 20°C captures this narrow uncertainty range and the short time remaining until resolution. A realistic shift could arise from an unexpected strengthening of northerly winds or localized radiative cooling under clearer skies, potentially dropping readings by 1–2°C at the official Incheon site.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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