Latest global and regional forecast models, including ensembles from the GFS and ECMWF, indicate a daily maximum near 30°C in Jinan on September 14 under mostly clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and strong daytime insolation. This aligns with the market's leading 30°C outcome at 34% implied probability, while the broad distribution across 28–32°C reflects typical short-range model spread in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat island effects. September climatology averages 27°C, so the current pattern shows modest warmth relative to baseline. Key variables include any late adjustments in high-pressure positioning or moisture advection that could shift the peak by 1–2°C before official observations resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Jinan am 14. September?
31°C 40%
29°C 38%
30°C 34%
28°C 19%
26°C oder niedriger
4%
27°C
14%
28°C
19%
29°C
38%
30°C
34%
31°C
40%
32°C
19%
33°C
16%
34°C
7%
35°C
4%
36°C oder höher
2%
31°C 40%
29°C 38%
30°C 34%
28°C 19%
26°C oder niedriger
4%
27°C
14%
28°C
19%
29°C
38%
30°C
34%
31°C
40%
32°C
19%
33°C
16%
34°C
7%
35°C
4%
36°C oder höher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest global and regional forecast models, including ensembles from the GFS and ECMWF, indicate a daily maximum near 30°C in Jinan on September 14 under mostly clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and strong daytime insolation. This aligns with the market's leading 30°C outcome at 34% implied probability, while the broad distribution across 28–32°C reflects typical short-range model spread in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat island effects. September climatology averages 27°C, so the current pattern shows modest warmth relative to baseline. Key variables include any late adjustments in high-pressure positioning or moisture advection that could shift the peak by 1–2°C before official observations resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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