Forecast consensus from models including ECMWF and GFS, alongside MetService guidance, positions a 15°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Wellington on September 13, with partly cloudy to sunny skies, southerly winds around 10-15 km/h, and negligible precipitation risk. This reflects spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where typical September highs average near 13°C; current high-pressure ridging supports mild daytime warming above baseline while limiting stronger northerlies that could push readings higher. Minor model spreads introduce limited upside to 16°C or downside to 14°C depending on exact cloud cover and wind timing, though historical analogs and recent stable patterns reinforce the narrow 14-16°C cluster dominating trader-implied probabilities. Resolution hinges on official maximum temperature observations at the primary Wellington station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 13. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 13. September?
15°C 67%
14°C 17%
16°C 17%
17°C 3.1%
NEU
$15,696 Vol.
NEU
$15,696 Vol.
13. Sep. 2026
10°C oder niedriger
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
17%
15°C
67%
16°C
17%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C oder höher
<1%
15°C 67%
14°C 17%
16°C 17%
17°C 3.1%
NEU
$15,696 Vol.
NEU
$15,696 Vol.
13. Sep. 2026
10°C oder niedriger
$668 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$284 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$180 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,107 Vol.
2%
14°C
$3,093 Vol.
17%
15°C
$4,485 Vol.
67%
16°C
$4,282 Vol.
17%
17°C
$590 Vol.
3%
18°C
$48 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$746 Vol.
<1%
20°C oder höher
$213 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from models including ECMWF and GFS, alongside MetService guidance, positions a 15°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Wellington on September 13, with partly cloudy to sunny skies, southerly winds around 10-15 km/h, and negligible precipitation risk. This reflects spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where typical September highs average near 13°C; current high-pressure ridging supports mild daytime warming above baseline while limiting stronger northerlies that could push readings higher. Minor model spreads introduce limited upside to 16°C or downside to 14°C depending on exact cloud cover and wind timing, though historical analogs and recent stable patterns reinforce the narrow 14-16°C cluster dominating trader-implied probabilities. Resolution hinges on official maximum temperature observations at the primary Wellington station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$15,696Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from models including ECMWF and GFS, alongside MetService guidance, positions a 15°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Wellington on September 13, with partly cloudy to sunny skies, southerly winds around 10-15 km/h, and negligible precipitation risk. This reflects spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where typical September highs average near 13°C; current high-pressure ridging supports mild daytime warming above baseline while limiting stronger northerlies that could push readings higher. Minor model spreads introduce limited upside to 16°C or downside to 14°C depending on exact cloud cover and wind timing, though historical analogs and recent stable patterns reinforce the narrow 14-16°C cluster dominating trader-implied probabilities. Resolution hinges on official maximum temperature observations at the primary Wellington station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$15,696Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from models including ECMWF and GFS, alongside MetService guidance, positions a 15°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Wellington on September 13, with partly cloudy to sunny skies, southerly winds around 10-15 km/h, and negligible precipitation risk. This reflects spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where typical September highs average near 13°C; current high-pressure ridging supports mild daytime warming above baseline while limiting stronger northerlies that could push readings higher. Minor model spreads introduce limited upside to 16°C or downside to 14°C depending on exact cloud cover and wind timing, though historical analogs and recent stable patterns reinforce the narrow 14-16°C cluster dominating trader-implied probabilities. Resolution hinges on official maximum temperature observations at the primary Wellington station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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