Recent forecast consensus from MetService, GFS, and ECMWF models positions a 15–16°C high as the most likely outcome for Wellington on September 14, aligning with the market’s leading 60.5% implied probability for 16°C and 28% for 15°C. A ridge of high pressure is delivering northerly flow and partly cloudy skies, supporting modest daytime warming above the September climatological average high near 13°C. Low precipitation risk and light winds limit cooling or heating extremes, keeping 17°C or higher at just 9.5% combined. Final temperature observations tomorrow will resolve the market, with any last-minute model shifts from overnight runs the primary variable that could adjust these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 14. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 14. September?
16°C 61%
15°C 28%
17°C 10%
14°C 3%
NEU
$19,683 Vol.
NEU
$19,683 Vol.
14. Sep. 2026
9°C oder darunter
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
28%
16°C
61%
17°C
10%
18°C
1%
19°C oder höher
<1%
16°C 61%
15°C 28%
17°C 10%
14°C 3%
NEU
$19,683 Vol.
NEU
$19,683 Vol.
14. Sep. 2026
9°C oder darunter
$573 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$573 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$79 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$368 Vol.
1%
13°C
$575 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,688 Vol.
3%
15°C
$2,979 Vol.
28%
16°C
$8,622 Vol.
61%
17°C
$2,553 Vol.
10%
18°C
$1,216 Vol.
1%
19°C oder höher
$457 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from MetService, GFS, and ECMWF models positions a 15–16°C high as the most likely outcome for Wellington on September 14, aligning with the market’s leading 60.5% implied probability for 16°C and 28% for 15°C. A ridge of high pressure is delivering northerly flow and partly cloudy skies, supporting modest daytime warming above the September climatological average high near 13°C. Low precipitation risk and light winds limit cooling or heating extremes, keeping 17°C or higher at just 9.5% combined. Final temperature observations tomorrow will resolve the market, with any last-minute model shifts from overnight runs the primary variable that could adjust these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$19,683Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from MetService, GFS, and ECMWF models positions a 15–16°C high as the most likely outcome for Wellington on September 14, aligning with the market’s leading 60.5% implied probability for 16°C and 28% for 15°C. A ridge of high pressure is delivering northerly flow and partly cloudy skies, supporting modest daytime warming above the September climatological average high near 13°C. Low precipitation risk and light winds limit cooling or heating extremes, keeping 17°C or higher at just 9.5% combined. Final temperature observations tomorrow will resolve the market, with any last-minute model shifts from overnight runs the primary variable that could adjust these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$19,683Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from MetService, GFS, and ECMWF models positions a 15–16°C high as the most likely outcome for Wellington on September 14, aligning with the market’s leading 60.5% implied probability for 16°C and 28% for 15°C. A ridge of high pressure is delivering northerly flow and partly cloudy skies, supporting modest daytime warming above the September climatological average high near 13°C. Low precipitation risk and light winds limit cooling or heating extremes, keeping 17°C or higher at just 9.5% combined. Final temperature observations tomorrow will resolve the market, with any last-minute model shifts from overnight runs the primary variable that could adjust these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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