**Forecast models from sources including the GFS and ECMWF consensus point to a clear, sunny September 14 in Zhengzhou under high pressure, supporting strong daytime heating and afternoon highs clustered near 30–32°C.** Light easterly winds and low humidity (around 30–40% in the afternoon) will favor efficient solar insolation without significant cloud interference or evaporative cooling, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions in the North China Plain. The tight spread in market-implied probabilities—31°C at 31%, 30°C at 25.5%, and 32°C at 18.5%—reflects minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact peak timing, and subtle variations in surface energy balance that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. No major synoptic changes or precipitation are expected to alter this range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 14. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 14. September?
31°C 40%
30°C 26%
32°C 19%
29°C 13%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
26°C oder darunter
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
13%
30°C
26%
31°C
31%
32°C
19%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C oder höher
1%
31°C 40%
30°C 26%
32°C 19%
29°C 13%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
26°C oder darunter
$60 Vol.
1%
27°C
$20 Vol.
3%
28°C
$63 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
13%
30°C
$62 Vol.
26%
31°C
$5 Vol.
31%
32°C
$0 Vol.
19%
33°C
$71 Vol.
8%
34°C
$70 Vol.
1%
35°C
$10 Vol.
2%
36°C oder höher
$45 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the GFS and ECMWF consensus point to a clear, sunny September 14 in Zhengzhou under high pressure, supporting strong daytime heating and afternoon highs clustered near 30–32°C.** Light easterly winds and low humidity (around 30–40% in the afternoon) will favor efficient solar insolation without significant cloud interference or evaporative cooling, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions in the North China Plain. The tight spread in market-implied probabilities—31°C at 31%, 30°C at 25.5%, and 32°C at 18.5%—reflects minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact peak timing, and subtle variations in surface energy balance that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. No major synoptic changes or precipitation are expected to alter this range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$405Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the GFS and ECMWF consensus point to a clear, sunny September 14 in Zhengzhou under high pressure, supporting strong daytime heating and afternoon highs clustered near 30–32°C.** Light easterly winds and low humidity (around 30–40% in the afternoon) will favor efficient solar insolation without significant cloud interference or evaporative cooling, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions in the North China Plain. The tight spread in market-implied probabilities—31°C at 31%, 30°C at 25.5%, and 32°C at 18.5%—reflects minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact peak timing, and subtle variations in surface energy balance that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. No major synoptic changes or precipitation are expected to alter this range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$405Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the GFS and ECMWF consensus point to a clear, sunny September 14 in Zhengzhou under high pressure, supporting strong daytime heating and afternoon highs clustered near 30–32°C.** Light easterly winds and low humidity (around 30–40% in the afternoon) will favor efficient solar insolation without significant cloud interference or evaporative cooling, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions in the North China Plain. The tight spread in market-implied probabilities—31°C at 31%, 30°C at 25.5%, and 32°C at 18.5%—reflects minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact peak timing, and subtle variations in surface energy balance that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. No major synoptic changes or precipitation are expected to alter this range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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