Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a mild southwesterly flow across southern England overnight into September 15, supporting a daily minimum near 16°C with limited radiative cooling under variable cloud cover. This positions 16°C as the market favorite at 66.5% implied probability, while 17°C retains secondary support at 26.5% if clearing skies allow slightly higher readings. Cooler outcomes such as 14°C remain possible only with stronger northwest winds or clearer conditions promoting greater heat loss, reflected in their lower 9% weighting. Historical September minima for London average around 12–14°C, but the current stable air mass and forecast consensus keep probabilities concentrated in the mid-teens. Updated model guidance later today could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 15. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in London am 15. September?
16°C 54%
17°C 21%
15°C 8%
14°C 4%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
11°C oder darunter
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
8%
16°C
65%
17°C
26%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C oder höher
<1%
16°C 54%
17°C 21%
15°C 8%
14°C 4%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
11°C oder darunter
$192 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$271 Vol.
2%
14°C
$196 Vol.
4%
15°C
$1,367 Vol.
8%
16°C
$657 Vol.
65%
17°C
$931 Vol.
26%
18°C
$458 Vol.
2%
19°C
$389 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
21°C oder höher
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a mild southwesterly flow across southern England overnight into September 15, supporting a daily minimum near 16°C with limited radiative cooling under variable cloud cover. This positions 16°C as the market favorite at 66.5% implied probability, while 17°C retains secondary support at 26.5% if clearing skies allow slightly higher readings. Cooler outcomes such as 14°C remain possible only with stronger northwest winds or clearer conditions promoting greater heat loss, reflected in their lower 9% weighting. Historical September minima for London average around 12–14°C, but the current stable air mass and forecast consensus keep probabilities concentrated in the mid-teens. Updated model guidance later today could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volumen
$4,643Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a mild southwesterly flow across southern England overnight into September 15, supporting a daily minimum near 16°C with limited radiative cooling under variable cloud cover. This positions 16°C as the market favorite at 66.5% implied probability, while 17°C retains secondary support at 26.5% if clearing skies allow slightly higher readings. Cooler outcomes such as 14°C remain possible only with stronger northwest winds or clearer conditions promoting greater heat loss, reflected in their lower 9% weighting. Historical September minima for London average around 12–14°C, but the current stable air mass and forecast consensus keep probabilities concentrated in the mid-teens. Updated model guidance later today could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,643Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a mild southwesterly flow across southern England overnight into September 15, supporting a daily minimum near 16°C with limited radiative cooling under variable cloud cover. This positions 16°C as the market favorite at 66.5% implied probability, while 17°C retains secondary support at 26.5% if clearing skies allow slightly higher readings. Cooler outcomes such as 14°C remain possible only with stronger northwest winds or clearer conditions promoting greater heat loss, reflected in their lower 9% weighting. Historical September minima for London average around 12–14°C, but the current stable air mass and forecast consensus keep probabilities concentrated in the mid-teens. Updated model guidance later today could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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