**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 54–55°F minimum in Seattle on September 16, 2026, reflecting official observations from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport under clear skies and light northerly winds.** This outcome aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 53.1°F for the date, as radiational cooling overnight produced a typical diurnal range without significant marine influence or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. Multiple real-time forecasts and preliminary climatological summaries consistently reported a low near 54°F, with minimal model spread once the evening transition began. Scenarios that could have altered this—such as unexpected marine layer intrusion, stronger onshore flow, or measurement discrepancies at secondary stations—did not materialize, leaving the market-implied odds effectively settled by verified National Weather Service data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seattle am 16. September?
54–55°F 100.0%
45°F oder darunter <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$1,876 Vol.
$1,876 Vol.
45°F oder darunter
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54–55°F
100%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F oder höher
<1%
54–55°F 100.0%
45°F oder darunter <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$1,876 Vol.
$1,876 Vol.
45°F oder darunter
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54–55°F
100%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 54–55°F minimum in Seattle on September 16, 2026, reflecting official observations from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport under clear skies and light northerly winds.** This outcome aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 53.1°F for the date, as radiational cooling overnight produced a typical diurnal range without significant marine influence or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. Multiple real-time forecasts and preliminary climatological summaries consistently reported a low near 54°F, with minimal model spread once the evening transition began. Scenarios that could have altered this—such as unexpected marine layer intrusion, stronger onshore flow, or measurement discrepancies at secondary stations—did not materialize, leaving the market-implied odds effectively settled by verified National Weather Service data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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