**Trader consensus heavily favors 76-77°F as the day's high in Chicago, reflecting the long-term climatological average high of 76°F for September 16 (1991–2020 normals) and initial model guidance before the latest forecast adjustments.** National Weather Service and other models now indicate a cooler outcome in the lower 70s amid mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northeast winds of 5–10 mph that limit daytime heating. Current afternoon readings near 72–73°F align with this pattern, driven by increased cloud cover and precipitation potential rather than strong warm advection. Market-implied odds aggregate trader assessments of observational data from official stations, incorporating uncertainty ranges in short-term forecasts. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing or a shift in steering flow that allows greater insolation and pushes readings above the forecast envelope, though model consensus currently supports staying near or below the seasonal norm.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chicago am 16. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Chicago am 16. September?
76-77°F 99%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82°F oder höher <1%
$56,717 Vol.
$56,717 Vol.
16. Sep. 2026
63°F oder darunter
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
99%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F oder höher
<1%
76-77°F 99%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82°F oder höher <1%
$56,717 Vol.
$56,717 Vol.
16. Sep. 2026
63°F oder darunter
$239 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$325 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$133 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$6,167 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$16,254 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$13,420 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$8,939 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$3,899 Vol.
99%
78-79°F
$3,892 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$2,798 Vol.
<1%
82°F oder höher
$651 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 76-77°F as the day's high in Chicago, reflecting the long-term climatological average high of 76°F for September 16 (1991–2020 normals) and initial model guidance before the latest forecast adjustments.** National Weather Service and other models now indicate a cooler outcome in the lower 70s amid mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northeast winds of 5–10 mph that limit daytime heating. Current afternoon readings near 72–73°F align with this pattern, driven by increased cloud cover and precipitation potential rather than strong warm advection. Market-implied odds aggregate trader assessments of observational data from official stations, incorporating uncertainty ranges in short-term forecasts. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing or a shift in steering flow that allows greater insolation and pushes readings above the forecast envelope, though model consensus currently supports staying near or below the seasonal norm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$56,717Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 76-77°F as the day's high in Chicago, reflecting the long-term climatological average high of 76°F for September 16 (1991–2020 normals) and initial model guidance before the latest forecast adjustments.** National Weather Service and other models now indicate a cooler outcome in the lower 70s amid mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northeast winds of 5–10 mph that limit daytime heating. Current afternoon readings near 72–73°F align with this pattern, driven by increased cloud cover and precipitation potential rather than strong warm advection. Market-implied odds aggregate trader assessments of observational data from official stations, incorporating uncertainty ranges in short-term forecasts. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing or a shift in steering flow that allows greater insolation and pushes readings above the forecast envelope, though model consensus currently supports staying near or below the seasonal norm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$56,717Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 76-77°F as the day's high in Chicago, reflecting the long-term climatological average high of 76°F for September 16 (1991–2020 normals) and initial model guidance before the latest forecast adjustments.** National Weather Service and other models now indicate a cooler outcome in the lower 70s amid mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northeast winds of 5–10 mph that limit daytime heating. Current afternoon readings near 72–73°F align with this pattern, driven by increased cloud cover and precipitation potential rather than strong warm advection. Market-implied odds aggregate trader assessments of observational data from official stations, incorporating uncertainty ranges in short-term forecasts. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing or a shift in steering flow that allows greater insolation and pushes readings above the forecast envelope, though model consensus currently supports staying near or below the seasonal norm.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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