Forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS runs indicate a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 16 under westerly flow with scattered showers, aligning with the market's strong consensus on those two outcomes. Cooler Atlantic air and increased cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating compared with the 19.2°C climatological average high for the date. Recent model updates show limited spread, with most solutions keeping peaks below 20°C and only modest uncertainty around exact timing of any brief clearing that could allow a marginal rise. Traders appear to weigh this consensus against the possibility of slightly warmer or cooler realizations within the typical forecast error range for a 48-hour outlook.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 16. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 16. September?
19°C 54%
18°C 33%
20°C 8%
17°C 6%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
13°C oder darunter
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
33%
19°C
54%
20°C
8%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C oder höher
1%
19°C 54%
18°C 33%
20°C 8%
17°C 6%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
13°C oder darunter
$215 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$194 Vol.
1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
2%
16°C
$266 Vol.
2%
17°C
$469 Vol.
6%
18°C
$562 Vol.
33%
19°C
$526 Vol.
54%
20°C
$178 Vol.
8%
21°C
$44 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C oder höher
$110 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS runs indicate a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 16 under westerly flow with scattered showers, aligning with the market's strong consensus on those two outcomes. Cooler Atlantic air and increased cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating compared with the 19.2°C climatological average high for the date. Recent model updates show limited spread, with most solutions keeping peaks below 20°C and only modest uncertainty around exact timing of any brief clearing that could allow a marginal rise. Traders appear to weigh this consensus against the possibility of slightly warmer or cooler realizations within the typical forecast error range for a 48-hour outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$2,563Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS runs indicate a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 16 under westerly flow with scattered showers, aligning with the market's strong consensus on those two outcomes. Cooler Atlantic air and increased cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating compared with the 19.2°C climatological average high for the date. Recent model updates show limited spread, with most solutions keeping peaks below 20°C and only modest uncertainty around exact timing of any brief clearing that could allow a marginal rise. Traders appear to weigh this consensus against the possibility of slightly warmer or cooler realizations within the typical forecast error range for a 48-hour outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,563Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS runs indicate a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 16 under westerly flow with scattered showers, aligning with the market's strong consensus on those two outcomes. Cooler Atlantic air and increased cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating compared with the 19.2°C climatological average high for the date. Recent model updates show limited spread, with most solutions keeping peaks below 20°C and only modest uncertainty around exact timing of any brief clearing that could allow a marginal rise. Traders appear to weigh this consensus against the possibility of slightly warmer or cooler realizations within the typical forecast error range for a 48-hour outlook.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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