Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services indicate Milan will experience mostly clear skies and light southeasterly winds on September 14, supporting daytime maximum temperatures centered in the upper 20s Celsius. High-pressure dominance across northern Italy, combined with typical Po Valley warming under September insolation, underpins trader consensus around 28–29 °C as the most probable outcomes. Model runs show limited variability, with some guidance reaching 29 °C while others cap at 27 °C, explaining the concentrated implied probabilities near those levels and lower odds for 30 °C or above. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 14. September?
29°C 44%
30°C 39%
28°C 26%
27°C 19%
21°C oder niedriger
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
15%
27°C
19%
28°C
26%
29°C
44%
30°C
39%
31°C oder mehr
14%
29°C 44%
30°C 39%
28°C 26%
27°C 19%
21°C oder niedriger
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
15%
27°C
19%
28°C
26%
29°C
44%
30°C
39%
31°C oder mehr
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services indicate Milan will experience mostly clear skies and light southeasterly winds on September 14, supporting daytime maximum temperatures centered in the upper 20s Celsius. High-pressure dominance across northern Italy, combined with typical Po Valley warming under September insolation, underpins trader consensus around 28–29 °C as the most probable outcomes. Model runs show limited variability, with some guidance reaching 29 °C while others cap at 27 °C, explaining the concentrated implied probabilities near those levels and lower odds for 30 °C or above. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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