Recent numerical weather prediction models, including outputs consistent with GFS and ECMWF guidance as of September 12, indicate a high near 19°C in Moscow on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This places the expected maximum slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 16.7°C for the date. The market-implied probabilities, with 19°C leading at 42.5% followed by 18°C and 20°C, reflect trader aggregation of these stable short-range forecasts. Minor adjustments remain possible from updated model runs or local observational variations before official verification, though consensus across sources narrows the likely range to 18–20°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 14. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Moskau am 14. September?
19°C 43%
18°C 27%
20°C 19%
17°C 14%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
13°C oder weniger
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
5%
16°C
4%
17°C
14%
18°C
29%
19°C
43%
20°C
19%
21°C
5%
22°C
8%
23°C oder höher
6%
19°C 43%
18°C 27%
20°C 19%
17°C 14%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
13°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
2%
14°C
$0 Vol.
5%
15°C
$0 Vol.
5%
16°C
$0 Vol.
4%
17°C
$44 Vol.
14%
18°C
$33 Vol.
29%
19°C
$84 Vol.
43%
20°C
$17 Vol.
19%
21°C
$38 Vol.
5%
22°C
$0 Vol.
8%
23°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including outputs consistent with GFS and ECMWF guidance as of September 12, indicate a high near 19°C in Moscow on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This places the expected maximum slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 16.7°C for the date. The market-implied probabilities, with 19°C leading at 42.5% followed by 18°C and 20°C, reflect trader aggregation of these stable short-range forecasts. Minor adjustments remain possible from updated model runs or local observational variations before official verification, though consensus across sources narrows the likely range to 18–20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$216Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including outputs consistent with GFS and ECMWF guidance as of September 12, indicate a high near 19°C in Moscow on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This places the expected maximum slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 16.7°C for the date. The market-implied probabilities, with 19°C leading at 42.5% followed by 18°C and 20°C, reflect trader aggregation of these stable short-range forecasts. Minor adjustments remain possible from updated model runs or local observational variations before official verification, though consensus across sources narrows the likely range to 18–20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$216Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including outputs consistent with GFS and ECMWF guidance as of September 12, indicate a high near 19°C in Moscow on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This places the expected maximum slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 16.7°C for the date. The market-implied probabilities, with 19°C leading at 42.5% followed by 18°C and 20°C, reflect trader aggregation of these stable short-range forecasts. Minor adjustments remain possible from updated model runs or local observational variations before official verification, though consensus across sources narrows the likely range to 18–20°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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