Recent forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate partly cloudy to overcast conditions over Metro Manila on September 14, driven by the southwest monsoon and possible nearby low-pressure influences, with isolated showers or thunderstorms expected to limit peak heating. Daytime maxima are projected near 30–32 °C under typical late-summer humidity levels above 75 %, though timing and intensity of rainfall could suppress readings toward the lower 20s °C or allow brief clearing that pushes values higher. Historical September averages near 31 °C provide context, yet short-term model spreads and monsoon variability create the balanced market-implied odds across the listed thresholds, with traders weighing the next official updates and convective timing as key resolution factors.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 14. September?
31°C 37%
32°C 27%
33°C 26%
34°C 16%
26°C oder weniger
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
9%
31°C
37%
32°C
27%
33°C
26%
34°C
16%
35°C
8%
36°C oder höher
9%
31°C 37%
32°C 27%
33°C 26%
34°C 16%
26°C oder weniger
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
9%
31°C
37%
32°C
27%
33°C
26%
34°C
16%
35°C
8%
36°C oder höher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate partly cloudy to overcast conditions over Metro Manila on September 14, driven by the southwest monsoon and possible nearby low-pressure influences, with isolated showers or thunderstorms expected to limit peak heating. Daytime maxima are projected near 30–32 °C under typical late-summer humidity levels above 75 %, though timing and intensity of rainfall could suppress readings toward the lower 20s °C or allow brief clearing that pushes values higher. Historical September averages near 31 °C provide context, yet short-term model spreads and monsoon variability create the balanced market-implied odds across the listed thresholds, with traders weighing the next official updates and convective timing as key resolution factors.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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