**Forecast variability for September 14 drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–36°C.** Multiple numerical weather prediction models currently project a maximum near 31–33°C under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions, with light northeast winds and a modest chance of showers that could limit afternoon heating. Wuhan’s humid subtropical climate, combined with the urban heat island effect and seasonal transition toward cooler autumn patterns, keeps outcomes sensitive to small changes in cloud cover, humidity, and frontal timing. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, yet the even distribution of trader probabilities across several degree thresholds reflects ongoing uncertainty ahead of updated runs and official observations from Chinese meteorological agencies.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 14. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 14. September?
32°C 25%
33°C 24%
29°C 22%
31°C 21%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
27°C oder weniger
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
22%
30°C
14%
31°C
21%
32°C
25%
33°C
24%
34°C
10%
35°C
5%
36°C
5%
37°C oder höher
3%
32°C 25%
33°C 24%
29°C 22%
31°C 21%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
27°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
22%
30°C
$0 Vol.
14%
31°C
$0 Vol.
21%
32°C
$0 Vol.
25%
33°C
$0 Vol.
24%
34°C
$0 Vol.
10%
35°C
$0 Vol.
5%
36°C
$0 Vol.
5%
37°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast variability for September 14 drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–36°C.** Multiple numerical weather prediction models currently project a maximum near 31–33°C under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions, with light northeast winds and a modest chance of showers that could limit afternoon heating. Wuhan’s humid subtropical climate, combined with the urban heat island effect and seasonal transition toward cooler autumn patterns, keeps outcomes sensitive to small changes in cloud cover, humidity, and frontal timing. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, yet the even distribution of trader probabilities across several degree thresholds reflects ongoing uncertainty ahead of updated runs and official observations from Chinese meteorological agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast variability for September 14 drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–36°C.** Multiple numerical weather prediction models currently project a maximum near 31–33°C under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions, with light northeast winds and a modest chance of showers that could limit afternoon heating. Wuhan’s humid subtropical climate, combined with the urban heat island effect and seasonal transition toward cooler autumn patterns, keeps outcomes sensitive to small changes in cloud cover, humidity, and frontal timing. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, yet the even distribution of trader probabilities across several degree thresholds reflects ongoing uncertainty ahead of updated runs and official observations from Chinese meteorological agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast variability for September 14 drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–36°C.** Multiple numerical weather prediction models currently project a maximum near 31–33°C under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions, with light northeast winds and a modest chance of showers that could limit afternoon heating. Wuhan’s humid subtropical climate, combined with the urban heat island effect and seasonal transition toward cooler autumn patterns, keeps outcomes sensitive to small changes in cloud cover, humidity, and frontal timing. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, yet the even distribution of trader probabilities across several degree thresholds reflects ongoing uncertainty ahead of updated runs and official observations from Chinese meteorological agencies.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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