Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other models indicate a mild September day in Amsterdam with maximum temperatures likely near 21–23°C, driven by southwesterly flow advecting warmer maritime air ahead of a weak frontal system. Variable cloud cover and light winds will determine whether peak readings reach the upper end of that range or remain closer to seasonal norms around 19–20°C, while any earlier showers could suppress daytime heating. With only modest model spread at this short lead time, trader consensus reflects the narrow range of plausible outcomes rather than strong directional bias. Updated model runs and official KNMI guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 14. September?
22°C 39%
23°C 30%
19°C 14%
21°C 14%
16°C oder darunter
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
3%
19°C
14%
20°C
8%
21°C
14%
22°C
39%
23°C
30%
24°C
10%
25°C
10%
26°C oder höher
8%
22°C 39%
23°C 30%
19°C 14%
21°C 14%
16°C oder darunter
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
3%
19°C
14%
20°C
8%
21°C
14%
22°C
39%
23°C
30%
24°C
10%
25°C
10%
26°C oder höher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other models indicate a mild September day in Amsterdam with maximum temperatures likely near 21–23°C, driven by southwesterly flow advecting warmer maritime air ahead of a weak frontal system. Variable cloud cover and light winds will determine whether peak readings reach the upper end of that range or remain closer to seasonal norms around 19–20°C, while any earlier showers could suppress daytime heating. With only modest model spread at this short lead time, trader consensus reflects the narrow range of plausible outcomes rather than strong directional bias. Updated model runs and official KNMI guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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