Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS indicate a high of 27–28 °C in Paris on September 14, driven by weak northwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and limited moisture under a stable late-summer ridge. This setup favors modest daytime heating above the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 22 °C, with afternoon temperatures peaking near 26–28 °C according to Météo-France guidance and surface observations. Light winds (3–7 km/h) and low precipitation probability (<10 %) reduce evaporative cooling, supporting the market’s concentration on 27 °C (46 %) and 28 °C (25.5 %). Minor model spread around boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover keeps 26 °C viable at 19.5 %, while warmer outliers remain below 10 % given the current steering pattern. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 14. September?
27°C 49%
28°C 25%
26°C 19%
29°C 8%
$15,572 Vol.
$15,572 Vol.
22°C oder weniger
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
19%
27°C
49%
28°C
25%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 49%
28°C 25%
26°C 19%
29°C 8%
$15,572 Vol.
$15,572 Vol.
22°C oder weniger
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
19%
27°C
49%
28°C
25%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS indicate a high of 27–28 °C in Paris on September 14, driven by weak northwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and limited moisture under a stable late-summer ridge. This setup favors modest daytime heating above the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 22 °C, with afternoon temperatures peaking near 26–28 °C according to Météo-France guidance and surface observations. Light winds (3–7 km/h) and low precipitation probability (<10 %) reduce evaporative cooling, supporting the market’s concentration on 27 °C (46 %) and 28 °C (25.5 %). Minor model spread around boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover keeps 26 °C viable at 19.5 %, while warmer outliers remain below 10 % given the current steering pattern. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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