Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs position 16°C as the most probable minimum in Paris on September 14, with overnight lows clustering between 15–17°C under light northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Persistent high pressure and above-average dew points near 15°C have prevented stronger temperature drops, keeping values several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological low of 11.6°C. Recent model consensus shows little spread, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the exact low toward 15°C or 17°C by the time official Météo-France observations close the market. Traders are weighting the tight forecast envelope heavily while noting the short time window before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 14. September?
16°C 42%
15°C 32%
17°C 24%
18°C 12%
12°C oder darunter
7%
13°C
3%
14°C
7%
15°C
32%
16°C
42%
17°C
24%
18°C
12%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C oder höher
2%
16°C 42%
15°C 32%
17°C 24%
18°C 12%
12°C oder darunter
7%
13°C
3%
14°C
7%
15°C
32%
16°C
42%
17°C
24%
18°C
12%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs position 16°C as the most probable minimum in Paris on September 14, with overnight lows clustering between 15–17°C under light northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Persistent high pressure and above-average dew points near 15°C have prevented stronger temperature drops, keeping values several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological low of 11.6°C. Recent model consensus shows little spread, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the exact low toward 15°C or 17°C by the time official Météo-France observations close the market. Traders are weighting the tight forecast envelope heavily while noting the short time window before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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