Forecast models from Environment Canada and others indicate a daytime high near 23–26 °C on September 16 with overnight clearing and light northerly winds, supporting a minimum temperature in the 13–18 °C range that aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around 16–20 °C. Cloud cover and scattered showers earlier in the period limit radiative cooling, while the seasonal baseline low of roughly 14 °C and recent northerly flow keep odds for extremes (21 °C+ or 11 °C or below) nearly even at 41 % and 39 %. Traders weigh these factors against potential model shifts in wind speed or dew-point depression that could push the actual low a degree or two either way before official verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Toronto am 16. September?
11°C oder darunter 82%
21°C oder höher 71%
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
11°C oder darunter
82%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
40%
17°C
33%
18°C
22%
19°C
21%
20°C
39%
21°C oder höher
71%
11°C oder darunter 82%
21°C oder höher 71%
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
11°C oder darunter
82%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
40%
17°C
33%
18°C
22%
19°C
21%
20°C
39%
21°C oder höher
71%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Environment Canada and others indicate a daytime high near 23–26 °C on September 16 with overnight clearing and light northerly winds, supporting a minimum temperature in the 13–18 °C range that aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around 16–20 °C. Cloud cover and scattered showers earlier in the period limit radiative cooling, while the seasonal baseline low of roughly 14 °C and recent northerly flow keep odds for extremes (21 °C+ or 11 °C or below) nearly even at 41 % and 39 %. Traders weigh these factors against potential model shifts in wind speed or dew-point depression that could push the actual low a degree or two either way before official verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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