Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Toronto on September 15 near 15–16°C, driven by southerly flow ahead of an approaching system that maintains mild overnight conditions under increasing cloud cover. Trader sentiment remains evenly split between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes at 44% each, reflecting model spread in low-level moisture and wind patterns that could shift the overnight low by several degrees. Historical September averages near 14°C provide context, while resolution hinges on official station readings rather than model output. New model runs and surface observations expected overnight may clarify the range before final settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Toronto am 15. September?
8°C oder niedriger 81%
18°C oder höher 80%
13°C 40%
9°C 39%
8°C oder niedriger
81%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
10%
13°C
24%
14°C
23%
15°C
39%
16°C
22%
17°C
39%
18°C oder höher
80%
8°C oder niedriger 81%
18°C oder höher 80%
13°C 40%
9°C 39%
8°C oder niedriger
81%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
10%
13°C
24%
14°C
23%
15°C
39%
16°C
22%
17°C
39%
18°C oder höher
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Toronto on September 15 near 15–16°C, driven by southerly flow ahead of an approaching system that maintains mild overnight conditions under increasing cloud cover. Trader sentiment remains evenly split between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes at 44% each, reflecting model spread in low-level moisture and wind patterns that could shift the overnight low by several degrees. Historical September averages near 14°C provide context, while resolution hinges on official station readings rather than model output. New model runs and surface observations expected overnight may clarify the range before final settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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