**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 16 point to overnight lows of 80–83°F under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds.** High humidity (dew points near 75°F) and a broad mid-level ridge suppress strong radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures well above the 72.5°F climatological average. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 78–79°F bin (42% implied probability) versus cooler bins, as models show limited scope for deeper drops without a frontal passage or clearer skies. Urban heat retention and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty separating the tightly matched 78–79°F and 71°F-or-below outcomes, with fresh model runs and hourly observations the key upcoming data points.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Houston am 16. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Houston am 16. September?
71°F oder darunter 82%
78-79°F 65%
80-81°F 51%
72-73°F 40%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
71°F oder darunter
82%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
27%
82-83 °F
40%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
12%
90°F oder höher
13%
71°F oder darunter 82%
78-79°F 65%
80-81°F 51%
72-73°F 40%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
71°F oder darunter
$0 Vol.
82%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
40%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
40%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
40%
78-79°F
$204 Vol.
42%
80-81°F
$78 Vol.
27%
82-83 °F
$82 Vol.
40%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
40%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
12%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
12%
90°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 16 point to overnight lows of 80–83°F under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds.** High humidity (dew points near 75°F) and a broad mid-level ridge suppress strong radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures well above the 72.5°F climatological average. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 78–79°F bin (42% implied probability) versus cooler bins, as models show limited scope for deeper drops without a frontal passage or clearer skies. Urban heat retention and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty separating the tightly matched 78–79°F and 71°F-or-below outcomes, with fresh model runs and hourly observations the key upcoming data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Volumen
$364Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 3:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 16 point to overnight lows of 80–83°F under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds.** High humidity (dew points near 75°F) and a broad mid-level ridge suppress strong radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures well above the 72.5°F climatological average. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 78–79°F bin (42% implied probability) versus cooler bins, as models show limited scope for deeper drops without a frontal passage or clearer skies. Urban heat retention and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty separating the tightly matched 78–79°F and 71°F-or-below outcomes, with fresh model runs and hourly observations the key upcoming data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$364Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 3:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 16 point to overnight lows of 80–83°F under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds.** High humidity (dew points near 75°F) and a broad mid-level ridge suppress strong radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures well above the 72.5°F climatological average. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 78–79°F bin (42% implied probability) versus cooler bins, as models show limited scope for deeper drops without a frontal passage or clearer skies. Urban heat retention and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty separating the tightly matched 78–79°F and 71°F-or-below outcomes, with fresh model runs and hourly observations the key upcoming data points.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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