**Close odds between 16°C and 19°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in Istanbul’s overnight minimum on September 18, driven by variable cloud cover and moderate northeast winds that modulate radiative cooling.** Partly cloudy conditions allow intermittent longwave heat loss, while 9–14 mph (4–6 m/s) northeasterly flow limits boundary-layer decoupling and keeps the low from dropping sharply. Latest model guidance and station observations place the expected minimum in the 16–19°C range, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September. Minor shifts in cloud timing or wind gusts could easily tip the recorded low between these thresholds, leaving traders with skin-in-the-game consensus split across the narrow band. Updated hourly readings from official stations will resolve the market as the night progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 18. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 18. September?
16°C 97%
13°C oder darunter 90%
15°C 90%
19°C 50%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
13°C oder darunter
90%
14°C
1%
15°C
90%
16°C
97%
17°C
47%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
49%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C oder höher
<1%
16°C 97%
13°C oder darunter 90%
15°C 90%
19°C 50%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
13°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
90%
14°C
$29 Vol.
1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
90%
16°C
$25 Vol.
97%
17°C
$15 Vol.
47%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
50%
20°C
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$520 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
23°C oder höher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Close odds between 16°C and 19°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in Istanbul’s overnight minimum on September 18, driven by variable cloud cover and moderate northeast winds that modulate radiative cooling.**
Partly cloudy conditions allow intermittent longwave heat loss, while 9–14 mph (4–6 m/s) northeasterly flow limits boundary-layer decoupling and keeps the low from dropping sharply. Latest model guidance and station observations place the expected minimum in the 16–19°C range, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September. Minor shifts in cloud timing or wind gusts could easily tip the recorded low between these thresholds, leaving traders with skin-in-the-game consensus split across the narrow band. Updated hourly readings from official stations will resolve the market as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$590Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Close odds between 16°C and 19°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in Istanbul’s overnight minimum on September 18, driven by variable cloud cover and moderate northeast winds that modulate radiative cooling.**
Partly cloudy conditions allow intermittent longwave heat loss, while 9–14 mph (4–6 m/s) northeasterly flow limits boundary-layer decoupling and keeps the low from dropping sharply. Latest model guidance and station observations place the expected minimum in the 16–19°C range, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September. Minor shifts in cloud timing or wind gusts could easily tip the recorded low between these thresholds, leaving traders with skin-in-the-game consensus split across the narrow band. Updated hourly readings from official stations will resolve the market as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$590Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Close odds between 16°C and 19°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in Istanbul’s overnight minimum on September 18, driven by variable cloud cover and moderate northeast winds that modulate radiative cooling.** Partly cloudy conditions allow intermittent longwave heat loss, while 9–14 mph (4–6 m/s) northeasterly flow limits boundary-layer decoupling and keeps the low from dropping sharply. Latest model guidance and station observations place the expected minimum in the 16–19°C range, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September. Minor shifts in cloud timing or wind gusts could easily tip the recorded low between these thresholds, leaving traders with skin-in-the-game consensus split across the narrow band. Updated hourly readings from official stations will resolve the market as the night progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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