Recent forecasts for Manila on September 18 indicate scattered thunderstorms and 70-90% rain probability, with cloud cover and precipitation expected to moderate peak heating under the southwest monsoon. Official and model guidance from sources like PAGASA analogs and international ensembles points to daytime maxima near 30-32°C, consistent with September climatology of 31-32°C highs amid high humidity and limited solar insolation. The market's tight clustering around 32°C (40.5% implied probability) versus 33°C (31.5%) and 31°C (23%) reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, which can suppress or allow brief clears that alter the daily maximum by 1-2°C. Latest model runs show stable steering patterns without tropical cyclone influence, keeping odds anchored to typical wet-season constraints rather than extreme outliers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 18. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 18. September?
32°C 45%
33°C 32%
31°C 21%
30°C 4%
NEU
$10,393 Vol.
NEU
$10,393 Vol.
18. Sep. 2026
28°C oder darunter
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
21%
32°C
45%
33°C
32%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 45%
33°C 32%
31°C 21%
30°C 4%
NEU
$10,393 Vol.
NEU
$10,393 Vol.
18. Sep. 2026
28°C oder darunter
$102 Vol.
2%
29°C
$201 Vol.
2%
30°C
$678 Vol.
4%
31°C
$1,516 Vol.
21%
32°C
$1,515 Vol.
45%
33°C
$5,017 Vol.
32%
34°C
$947 Vol.
4%
35°C
$22 Vol.
2%
36°C
$0 Vol.
1%
37°C
$169 Vol.
<1%
38°C oder höher
$225 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila on September 18 indicate scattered thunderstorms and 70-90% rain probability, with cloud cover and precipitation expected to moderate peak heating under the southwest monsoon. Official and model guidance from sources like PAGASA analogs and international ensembles points to daytime maxima near 30-32°C, consistent with September climatology of 31-32°C highs amid high humidity and limited solar insolation. The market's tight clustering around 32°C (40.5% implied probability) versus 33°C (31.5%) and 31°C (23%) reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, which can suppress or allow brief clears that alter the daily maximum by 1-2°C. Latest model runs show stable steering patterns without tropical cyclone influence, keeping odds anchored to typical wet-season constraints rather than extreme outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volumen
$10,393Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila on September 18 indicate scattered thunderstorms and 70-90% rain probability, with cloud cover and precipitation expected to moderate peak heating under the southwest monsoon. Official and model guidance from sources like PAGASA analogs and international ensembles points to daytime maxima near 30-32°C, consistent with September climatology of 31-32°C highs amid high humidity and limited solar insolation. The market's tight clustering around 32°C (40.5% implied probability) versus 33°C (31.5%) and 31°C (23%) reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, which can suppress or allow brief clears that alter the daily maximum by 1-2°C. Latest model runs show stable steering patterns without tropical cyclone influence, keeping odds anchored to typical wet-season constraints rather than extreme outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,393Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Manila on September 18 indicate scattered thunderstorms and 70-90% rain probability, with cloud cover and precipitation expected to moderate peak heating under the southwest monsoon. Official and model guidance from sources like PAGASA analogs and international ensembles points to daytime maxima near 30-32°C, consistent with September climatology of 31-32°C highs amid high humidity and limited solar insolation. The market's tight clustering around 32°C (40.5% implied probability) versus 33°C (31.5%) and 31°C (23%) reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, which can suppress or allow brief clears that alter the daily maximum by 1-2°C. Latest model runs show stable steering patterns without tropical cyclone influence, keeping odds anchored to typical wet-season constraints rather than extreme outliers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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